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icon for Elección al Senado de Rondônia: 2º lugar

Elección al Senado de Rondônia: 2º lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Rondônia: 2º lugar

Elección al Senado de Rondônia: 2º lugar

Mariana Carvalho 45%

Acir Gurgacz 44%

Engenheiro Thulio 44%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 43%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Mariana Carvalho 45%

Acir Gurgacz 44%

Engenheiro Thulio 44%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 43%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Mariana Carvalho

Mariana Carvalho

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Acir Gurgacz

Acir Gurgacz

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Engenheiro Thulio

Engenheiro Thulio

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Luciana Oliveira

Luciana Oliveira

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Luis Fernando

Luis Fernando

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Sílvia Cristina

Sílvia Cristina

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Aires Mota

Aires Mota

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Neidinha

Neidinha

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Dr. Fernando Máximo

Dr. Fernando Máximo

$0 Vol.

40%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple candidates remain closely matched in the fragmented Rondônia Senate contest for the two seats renewing in October 2026, with recent party conventions confirming slates that include PL nominees Fernando Máximo and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid alongside Acir Gurgacz, Sílvia Cristina, Mariana Carvalho and others. Limited polling shows Máximo ahead but leaves the second position unsettled, sustaining trader consensus near even odds across many names. Fragmentation from multi-party competition, absence of a clear runoff dynamic, and undecided voter blocs in the state keep probabilities balanced. Further separation could emerge from additional surveys, candidate debates, endorsements or shifts in turnout patterns before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple candidates remain closely matched in the fragmented Rondônia Senate contest for the two seats renewing in October 2026, with recent party conventions confirming slates that include PL nominees Fernando Máximo and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid alongside Acir Gurgacz, Sílvia Cristina, Mariana Carvalho and others. Limited polling shows Máximo ahead but leaves the second position unsettled, sustaining trader consensus near even odds across many names. Fragmentation from multi-party competition, absence of a clear runoff dynamic, and undecided voter blocs in the state keep probabilities balanced. Further separation could emerge from additional surveys, candidate debates, endorsements or shifts in turnout patterns before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Rondônia: 2º lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mariana Carvalho" con 45%, seguido de "Acir Gurgacz" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Rondônia: 2º lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Rondônia: 2º lugar", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Rondônia: 2º lugar" es "Mariana Carvalho" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Acir Gurgacz" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Rondônia: 2º lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.