Multiple candidates remain closely matched in the fragmented Rondônia Senate contest for the two seats renewing in October 2026, with recent party conventions confirming slates that include PL nominees Fernando Máximo and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid alongside Acir Gurgacz, Sílvia Cristina, Mariana Carvalho and others. Limited polling shows Máximo ahead but leaves the second position unsettled, sustaining trader consensus near even odds across many names. Fragmentation from multi-party competition, absence of a clear runoff dynamic, and undecided voter blocs in the state keep probabilities balanced. Further separation could emerge from additional surveys, candidate debates, endorsements or shifts in turnout patterns before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElección al Senado de Rondônia: 2º lugar
Mariana Carvalho 45%
Acir Gurgacz 44%
Engenheiro Thulio 44%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 43%

Mariana Carvalho
45%

Acir Gurgacz
44%

Engenheiro Thulio
44%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
43%

Luciana Oliveira
43%

Luis Fernando
42%

Sílvia Cristina
41%

Aires Mota
41%

Neidinha
40%

Dr. Fernando Máximo
40%
Mariana Carvalho 45%
Acir Gurgacz 44%
Engenheiro Thulio 44%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 43%

Mariana Carvalho
45%

Acir Gurgacz
44%

Engenheiro Thulio
44%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
43%

Luciana Oliveira
43%

Luis Fernando
42%

Sílvia Cristina
41%

Aires Mota
41%

Neidinha
40%

Dr. Fernando Máximo
40%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple candidates remain closely matched in the fragmented Rondônia Senate contest for the two seats renewing in October 2026, with recent party conventions confirming slates that include PL nominees Fernando Máximo and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid alongside Acir Gurgacz, Sílvia Cristina, Mariana Carvalho and others. Limited polling shows Máximo ahead but leaves the second position unsettled, sustaining trader consensus near even odds across many names. Fragmentation from multi-party competition, absence of a clear runoff dynamic, and undecided voter blocs in the state keep probabilities balanced. Further separation could emerge from additional surveys, candidate debates, endorsements or shifts in turnout patterns before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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