United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma and regional elections with entrenched institutional advantages, including administrative resources, party-list control, multi-day voting procedures, and the exclusion of genuine opposition candidates that have historically secured majorities or pluralities across Russian regions. Recent 2025 regional contests reinforced this pattern, with United Russia-aligned candidates capturing nearly all governorships and roughly 81 percent of legislative seats amid documented irregularities. Trader consensus at 58.5 percent for sweeping every region reflects these structural factors alongside reports of softer approval ratings tied to wartime economic pressures, though Kremlin coordination on turnout targets and candidate selection continues to shape outcomes. Scheduled voting from September 18–20 leaves limited room for late shifts absent major disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones en Rusia: ¿Rusia Unida gana todas las regiones?
Elecciones en Rusia: ¿Rusia Unida gana todas las regiones?
Sí
59% probabilidad
$44,527 Vol.
$44,527 Vol.
20 sep 2026
Sí
59% probabilidad
$44,527 Vol.
$44,527 Vol.
20 sep 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma and regional elections with entrenched institutional advantages, including administrative resources, party-list control, multi-day voting procedures, and the exclusion of genuine opposition candidates that have historically secured majorities or pluralities across Russian regions. Recent 2025 regional contests reinforced this pattern, with United Russia-aligned candidates capturing nearly all governorships and roughly 81 percent of legislative seats amid documented irregularities. Trader consensus at 58.5 percent for sweeping every region reflects these structural factors alongside reports of softer approval ratings tied to wartime economic pressures, though Kremlin coordination on turnout targets and candidate selection continues to shape outcomes. Scheduled voting from September 18–20 leaves limited room for late shifts absent major disruptions.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
Volumen
$44,527Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma and regional elections with entrenched institutional advantages, including administrative resources, party-list control, multi-day voting procedures, and the exclusion of genuine opposition candidates that have historically secured majorities or pluralities across Russian regions. Recent 2025 regional contests reinforced this pattern, with United Russia-aligned candidates capturing nearly all governorships and roughly 81 percent of legislative seats amid documented irregularities. Trader consensus at 58.5 percent for sweeping every region reflects these structural factors alongside reports of softer approval ratings tied to wartime economic pressures, though Kremlin coordination on turnout targets and candidate selection continues to shape outcomes. Scheduled voting from September 18–20 leaves limited room for late shifts absent major disruptions.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$44,527Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma and regional elections with entrenched institutional advantages, including administrative resources, party-list control, multi-day voting procedures, and the exclusion of genuine opposition candidates that have historically secured majorities or pluralities across Russian regions. Recent 2025 regional contests reinforced this pattern, with United Russia-aligned candidates capturing nearly all governorships and roughly 81 percent of legislative seats amid documented irregularities. Trader consensus at 58.5 percent for sweeping every region reflects these structural factors alongside reports of softer approval ratings tied to wartime economic pressures, though Kremlin coordination on turnout targets and candidate selection continues to shape outcomes. Scheduled voting from September 18–20 leaves limited room for late shifts absent major disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Ganará Rusia Unida (ER) la mayoría de los escaños en las próximas elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
98%
Sí
¿Obtendrá Rusia Unida (ER) la mayor cantidad de escaños en las próximas elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
68%
Sí
¿Ganará Rusia Unida entre 325 y 339 escaños en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?
35%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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