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icon for ¿Elecciones parlamentarias serbias convocadas antes de 2027?

¿Elecciones parlamentarias serbias convocadas antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Elecciones parlamentarias serbias convocadas antes de 2027?

¿Elecciones parlamentarias serbias convocadas antes de 2027?

Sí

98% probabilidad
Polymarket

$43,434 Vol.

Sí

98% probabilidad
Polymarket

$43,434 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić’s repeated public commitments since June 2026 to resign and trigger early parliamentary elections—originally scheduled for late 2027—have anchored trader expectations. Amid sustained student-led protests following the 2024 Novi Sad railway tragedy, Vučić announced in August that voting would occur on 18 or 25 October, with September reports confirming preparations for a 25 October snap vote, including imminent parliamentary dissolution and a 45-to-60-day campaign window. These steps, driven by institutional pressures and coalition dynamics within the Serbian Progressive Party, align with the constitutional process for calling early elections and have produced the current 91.5% implied probability for resolution before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$43,434
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić’s repeated public commitments since June 2026 to resign and trigger early parliamentary elections—originally scheduled for late 2027—have anchored trader expectations. Amid sustained student-led protests following the 2024 Novi Sad railway tragedy, Vučić announced in August that voting would occur on 18 or 25 October, with September reports confirming preparations for a 25 October snap vote, including imminent parliamentary dissolution and a 45-to-60-day campaign window. These steps, driven by institutional pressures and coalition dynamics within the Serbian Progressive Party, align with the constitutional process for calling early elections and have produced the current 91.5% implied probability for resolution before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$43,434
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elecciones parlamentarias serbias convocadas antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Elecciones parlamentarias serbias convocadas antes de 2027?" con 92%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 92¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elecciones parlamentarias serbias convocadas antes de 2027?" ha generado $43.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 12, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elecciones parlamentarias serbias convocadas antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elecciones parlamentarias serbias convocadas antes de 2027?" es "¿Elecciones parlamentarias serbias convocadas antes de 2027?" con 92%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elecciones parlamentarias serbias convocadas antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.