Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election place Kristdemokraterna (KD) vote share in the 6–7.5% range, with August surveys from Novus and Demoskop showing modest gains from earlier 2026 readings near 4.5–6%. These results reflect KD’s position as a junior partner in the Tidö-governed center-right bloc, where support for the Moderates and Sweden Democrats has softened while KD draws limited transfers from allied parties. The center-left opposition maintains a clear aggregate lead, limiting upside momentum for smaller right-leaning parties. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to a 5–7% outcome, consistent with the narrow band observed in the latest polling averages and the absence of major campaign catalysts that would push KD outside this interval before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿KD Vote Share?
Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿KD Vote Share?
5-7% 45%
7-9% 26%
<5% 17%
9%+ 11.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
<5%
17%
5-7%
45%
7-9%
26%
9%+
11%
5-7% 45%
7-9% 26%
<5% 17%
9%+ 11.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
<5%
$187 Vol.
17%
5-7%
$4,662 Vol.
45%
7-9%
$452 Vol.
26%
9%+
$179 Vol.
11%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election place Kristdemokraterna (KD) vote share in the 6–7.5% range, with August surveys from Novus and Demoskop showing modest gains from earlier 2026 readings near 4.5–6%. These results reflect KD’s position as a junior partner in the Tidö-governed center-right bloc, where support for the Moderates and Sweden Democrats has softened while KD draws limited transfers from allied parties. The center-left opposition maintains a clear aggregate lead, limiting upside momentum for smaller right-leaning parties. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to a 5–7% outcome, consistent with the narrow band observed in the latest polling averages and the absence of major campaign catalysts that would push KD outside this interval before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volumen
$5,480Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election place Kristdemokraterna (KD) vote share in the 6–7.5% range, with August surveys from Novus and Demoskop showing modest gains from earlier 2026 readings near 4.5–6%. These results reflect KD’s position as a junior partner in the Tidö-governed center-right bloc, where support for the Moderates and Sweden Democrats has softened while KD draws limited transfers from allied parties. The center-left opposition maintains a clear aggregate lead, limiting upside momentum for smaller right-leaning parties. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to a 5–7% outcome, consistent with the narrow band observed in the latest polling averages and the absence of major campaign catalysts that would push KD outside this interval before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$5,480Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election place Kristdemokraterna (KD) vote share in the 6–7.5% range, with August surveys from Novus and Demoskop showing modest gains from earlier 2026 readings near 4.5–6%. These results reflect KD’s position as a junior partner in the Tidö-governed center-right bloc, where support for the Moderates and Sweden Democrats has softened while KD draws limited transfers from allied parties. The center-left opposition maintains a clear aggregate lead, limiting upside momentum for smaller right-leaning parties. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to a 5–7% outcome, consistent with the narrow band observed in the latest polling averages and the absence of major campaign catalysts that would push KD outside this interval before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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