Recent polling for Sweden's September 2026 parliamentary election places the Moderate Party (Moderaterna) vote share in the 16–18% range, aligning with the market's leading outcome. Surveys from Demoskop, Novus, and Indikator Opinion in June–August 2026 consistently show Moderaterna between 16.8% and 17.7%, down from 19.1% in 2022. As the lead party in the current right-wing coalition government under Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, the Moderates face pressure from a widening gap with the centre-left opposition bloc and competition within the right-leaning group, particularly from the Sweden Democrats. These results reflect steady trends in voter intentions tracked by multiple firms through mid-August, with no major shifts reported in the immediate pre-election period that would move probabilities outside this band.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado16-18% 43%
<16% 31%
18-20% 20%
20%+ 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
<16%
31%
16-18%
43%
18-20%
20%
20%+
12%
16-18% 43%
<16% 31%
18-20% 20%
20%+ 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
<16%
$302 Vol.
31%
16-18%
$383 Vol.
43%
18-20%
$96 Vol.
20%
20%+
$304 Vol.
12%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling for Sweden's September 2026 parliamentary election places the Moderate Party (Moderaterna) vote share in the 16–18% range, aligning with the market's leading outcome. Surveys from Demoskop, Novus, and Indikator Opinion in June–August 2026 consistently show Moderaterna between 16.8% and 17.7%, down from 19.1% in 2022. As the lead party in the current right-wing coalition government under Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, the Moderates face pressure from a widening gap with the centre-left opposition bloc and competition within the right-leaning group, particularly from the Sweden Democrats. These results reflect steady trends in voter intentions tracked by multiple firms through mid-August, with no major shifts reported in the immediate pre-election period that would move probabilities outside this band.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ET
Volumen
$1,084Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling for Sweden's September 2026 parliamentary election places the Moderate Party (Moderaterna) vote share in the 16–18% range, aligning with the market's leading outcome. Surveys from Demoskop, Novus, and Indikator Opinion in June–August 2026 consistently show Moderaterna between 16.8% and 17.7%, down from 19.1% in 2022. As the lead party in the current right-wing coalition government under Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, the Moderates face pressure from a widening gap with the centre-left opposition bloc and competition within the right-leaning group, particularly from the Sweden Democrats. These results reflect steady trends in voter intentions tracked by multiple firms through mid-August, with no major shifts reported in the immediate pre-election period that would move probabilities outside this band.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$1,084Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Sweden's September 2026 parliamentary election places the Moderate Party (Moderaterna) vote share in the 16–18% range, aligning with the market's leading outcome. Surveys from Demoskop, Novus, and Indikator Opinion in June–August 2026 consistently show Moderaterna between 16.8% and 17.7%, down from 19.1% in 2022. As the lead party in the current right-wing coalition government under Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, the Moderates face pressure from a widening gap with the centre-left opposition bloc and competition within the right-leaning group, particularly from the Sweden Democrats. These results reflect steady trends in voter intentions tracked by multiple firms through mid-August, with no major shifts reported in the immediate pre-election period that would move probabilities outside this band.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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