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icon for Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar

Apóstolo Flavio Braga 45%

Professor Osvaldo 44%

Gaguim 40%

Ronaldo Dimas 35%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Apóstolo Flavio Braga 45%

Professor Osvaldo 44%

Gaguim 40%

Ronaldo Dimas 35%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$20 Vol.

45%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$20 Vol.

44%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$20 Vol.

40%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$20 Vol.

35%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$20 Vol.

30%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$20 Vol.

28%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$20 Vol.

28%

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$20 Vol.

27%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$20 Vol.

26%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$20 Vol.

19%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$20 Vol.

16%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$20 Vol.

14%

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$20 Vol.

41%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL) holds the narrowest edge among contenders for first place in the Tocantins Federal Senate race, reflecting his incumbency, established party infrastructure, and recent formalization of the União pelo Tocantins coalition ahead of the October 2026 vote. A July Paraná Pesquisas survey showed him ahead of challengers including Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and others, though the field remains fragmented with multiple candidates drawing support from different regional and partisan bases. Trader pricing stays tightly bunched because no decisive late-campaign shift—such as new polling surges, major endorsements, or scandals—has yet separated the pack, leaving room for standard factors like turnout in key municipalities and alliance negotiations to alter relative standings before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$260
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL) holds the narrowest edge among contenders for first place in the Tocantins Federal Senate race, reflecting his incumbency, established party infrastructure, and recent formalization of the União pelo Tocantins coalition ahead of the October 2026 vote. A July Paraná Pesquisas survey showed him ahead of challengers including Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and others, though the field remains fragmented with multiple candidates drawing support from different regional and partisan bases. Trader pricing stays tightly bunched because no decisive late-campaign shift—such as new polling surges, major endorsements, or scandals—has yet separated the pack, leaving room for standard factors like turnout in key municipalities and alliance negotiations to alter relative standings before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$260
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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¿Alexandre Guimarães obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Tocantins en 2026?

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Apóstolo Flavio Braga" con 45%, seguido de "Professor Osvaldo" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" es "Apóstolo Flavio Braga" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Professor Osvaldo" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.