Recent formation of the Bennett-Lapid "Together" electoral list in late April 2026, without any inclusion of Benny Gantz, has anchored trader expectations that he will not join by the June 30 deadline. Gantz's own public statements signaling openness to a Netanyahu-led government, alongside polls showing his party below the electoral threshold and divided voter preferences on merger options, have reinforced the view of ongoing opposition fragmentation. With no reported negotiations and limited time remaining before the cutoff, the implied 80.5% probability on "No" reflects the absence of catalytic developments that would alter these alignments ahead of Israel's next legislative vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWill Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent formation of the Bennett-Lapid "Together" electoral list in late April 2026, without any inclusion of Benny Gantz, has anchored trader expectations that he will not join by the June 30 deadline. Gantz's own public statements signaling openness to a Netanyahu-led government, alongside polls showing his party below the electoral threshold and divided voter preferences on merger options, have reinforced the view of ongoing opposition fragmentation. With no reported negotiations and limited time remaining before the cutoff, the implied 80.5% probability on "No" reflects the absence of catalytic developments that would alter these alignments ahead of Israel's next legislative vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Volumen
$1,885Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent formation of the Bennett-Lapid "Together" electoral list in late April 2026, without any inclusion of Benny Gantz, has anchored trader expectations that he will not join by the June 30 deadline. Gantz's own public statements signaling openness to a Netanyahu-led government, alongside polls showing his party below the electoral threshold and divided voter preferences on merger options, have reinforced the view of ongoing opposition fragmentation. With no reported negotiations and limited time remaining before the cutoff, the implied 80.5% probability on "No" reflects the absence of catalytic developments that would alter these alignments ahead of Israel's next legislative vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.
If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,885Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent formation of the Bennett-Lapid "Together" electoral list in late April 2026, without any inclusion of Benny Gantz, has anchored trader expectations that he will not join by the June 30 deadline. Gantz's own public statements signaling openness to a Netanyahu-led government, alongside polls showing his party below the electoral threshold and divided voter preferences on merger options, have reinforced the view of ongoing opposition fragmentation. With no reported negotiations and limited time remaining before the cutoff, the implied 80.5% probability on "No" reflects the absence of catalytic developments that would alter these alignments ahead of Israel's next legislative vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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