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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?

Jul 17

Jul 17

Paramount+ 45%

ChatGPT 45%

Netflix Game Controller 45%

Peacock TV: Stream TV & Movies 45%

Polymarket
NEW

Paramount+ 45%

ChatGPT 45%

Netflix Game Controller 45%

Peacock TV: Stream TV & Movies 45%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Paramount+

Paramount+

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Peacock TV: Stream TV & Movies

Peacock TV: Stream TV & Movies

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Threads

Threads

$24 Vol.

21%

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$34 Vol.

20%

icon for FOX One: Live News, Sports, TV

FOX One: Live News, Sports, TV

$0 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Netflix Game Controller's repeated surges to the top of the U.S. free charts, including #1 rankings in April and early July 2026, have tightened the race for the #2 spot on July 17 by demonstrating how a simple accessory app can drive massive downloads through Netflix's gaming push. AI chatbots such as ChatGPT and Claude by Anthropic remain close contenders due to steady user engagement and periodic spikes, while Threads, Paramount+, and Peacock compete on social and streaming momentum. Fast-shifting rankings, influenced by content releases and platform updates, keep multiple apps clustered near 50% implied probability as traders weigh the volatility of download patterns just days before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$59
End Date
Jul 17, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Netflix Game Controller's repeated surges to the top of the U.S. free charts, including #1 rankings in April and early July 2026, have tightened the race for the #2 spot on July 17 by demonstrating how a simple accessory app can drive massive downloads through Netflix's gaming push. AI chatbots such as ChatGPT and Claude by Anthropic remain close contenders due to steady user engagement and periodic spikes, while Threads, Paramount+, and Peacock compete on social and streaming momentum. Fast-shifting rankings, influenced by content releases and platform updates, keep multiple apps clustered near 50% implied probability as traders weigh the volatility of download patterns just days before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$59
End Date
Jul 17, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paramount+" at 46%, followed by "ChatGPT" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?" is "Paramount+" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ChatGPT" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.