**Trader sentiment on H200 GPU rental prices for July 2026 sits at a 50/50 split because persistent memory and packaging bottlenecks offset rising supply and competitive pressure.** Strong AI demand, including Chinese interest in the 141 GB HBM3e-equipped Hopper cards, keeps utilization high across neoclouds and hyperscalers, while TSMC CoWoS capacity remains sold out and HBM3e production lags. At the same time, specialist providers have expanded H200 availability at $2–5 per hour, Blackwell B200 ramps displace some workloads, and earlier hyperscaler cuts continue to exert downward pressure. Upcoming catalysts include fresh TSMC capacity updates, major AI lab training announcements, and any NVIDIA or cloud-provider pricing revisions that could break the deadlock by clarifying whether shortages or substitution effects dominate the month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUp
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Jul 31, 2026
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H200 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H200 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.**Trader sentiment on H200 GPU rental prices for July 2026 sits at a 50/50 split because persistent memory and packaging bottlenecks offset rising supply and competitive pressure.** Strong AI demand, including Chinese interest in the 141 GB HBM3e-equipped Hopper cards, keeps utilization high across neoclouds and hyperscalers, while TSMC CoWoS capacity remains sold out and HBM3e production lags. At the same time, specialist providers have expanded H200 availability at $2–5 per hour, Blackwell B200 ramps displace some workloads, and earlier hyperscaler cuts continue to exert downward pressure.
Upcoming catalysts include fresh TSMC capacity updates, major AI lab training announcements, and any NVIDIA or cloud-provider pricing revisions that could break the deadlock by clarifying whether shortages or substitution effects dominate the month.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H200 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H200 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H200 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H200 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H200 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.**Trader sentiment on H200 GPU rental prices for July 2026 sits at a 50/50 split because persistent memory and packaging bottlenecks offset rising supply and competitive pressure.** Strong AI demand, including Chinese interest in the 141 GB HBM3e-equipped Hopper cards, keeps utilization high across neoclouds and hyperscalers, while TSMC CoWoS capacity remains sold out and HBM3e production lags. At the same time, specialist providers have expanded H200 availability at $2–5 per hour, Blackwell B200 ramps displace some workloads, and earlier hyperscaler cuts continue to exert downward pressure.
Upcoming catalysts include fresh TSMC capacity updates, major AI lab training announcements, and any NVIDIA or cloud-provider pricing revisions that could break the deadlock by clarifying whether shortages or substitution effects dominate the month.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H200 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H200 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H200 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader sentiment on H200 GPU rental prices for July 2026 sits at a 50/50 split because persistent memory and packaging bottlenecks offset rising supply and competitive pressure.** Strong AI demand, including Chinese interest in the 141 GB HBM3e-equipped Hopper cards, keeps utilization high across neoclouds and hyperscalers, while TSMC CoWoS capacity remains sold out and HBM3e production lags. At the same time, specialist providers have expanded H200 availability at $2–5 per hour, Blackwell B200 ramps displace some workloads, and earlier hyperscaler cuts continue to exert downward pressure. Upcoming catalysts include fresh TSMC capacity updates, major AI lab training announcements, and any NVIDIA or cloud-provider pricing revisions that could break the deadlock by clarifying whether shortages or substitution effects dominate the month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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