Anthropic's rollout of Claude Fable 5, its most capable widely available model for complex reasoning and agentic tasks, has centered trader attention on access terms. Launched in early June 2026 alongside Mythos 5, Fable 5 initially offered limited free quota to Pro, Max, Team, and Enterprise subscribers before shifting toward usage-based billing at API rates of $10 per million input tokens and $50 per million output tokens starting mid-July. Recent extensions of promotional inclusion through July 19 reflect ongoing compute constraints and competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.6, while official statements tie any permanent subscription integration to future capacity increases rather than fixed timelines. Upcoming catalysts include Anthropic's next model cycle and potential policy updates that could clarify whether paid plans will retain no-extra-cost Fable 5 access or move fully to metered credits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Jul 24, 2026
July 24
45%
July 31
45%
$0.00 Vol.
July 24
$0 Vol.
45%
July 31
$0 Vol.
45%
On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that access to "Claude Fable 5" will remain permanently or indefinitely included on qualifying paid plans, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying announcement requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An announcement covering all paid plans does qualify. An announcement covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify.
An announcement extending access only through a specified date or for another temporary period will not qualify. Access described as permanent, indefinite, ongoing, or continuing without a stated expiration will qualify.
Continued or extended access without a qualifying public announcement from Anthropic will not qualify.
The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic's rollout of Claude Fable 5, its most capable widely available model for complex reasoning and agentic tasks, has centered trader attention on access terms. Launched in early June 2026 alongside Mythos 5, Fable 5 initially offered limited free quota to Pro, Max, Team, and Enterprise subscribers before shifting toward usage-based billing at API rates of $10 per million input tokens and $50 per million output tokens starting mid-July. Recent extensions of promotional inclusion through July 19 reflect ongoing compute constraints and competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.6, while official statements tie any permanent subscription integration to future capacity increases rather than fixed timelines. Upcoming catalysts include Anthropic's next model cycle and potential policy updates that could clarify whether paid plans will retain no-extra-cost Fable 5 access or move fully to metered credits.
On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that access to "Claude Fable 5" will remain permanently or indefinitely included on qualifying paid plans, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying announcement requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An announcement covering all paid plans does qualify. An announcement covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify.
An announcement extending access only through a specified date or for another temporary period will not qualify. Access described as permanent, indefinite, ongoing, or continuing without a stated expiration will qualify.
Continued or extended access without a qualifying public announcement from Anthropic will not qualify.
The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that access to "Claude Fable 5" will remain permanently or indefinitely included on qualifying paid plans, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying announcement requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An announcement covering all paid plans does qualify. An announcement covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify.
An announcement extending access only through a specified date or for another temporary period will not qualify. Access described as permanent, indefinite, ongoing, or continuing without a stated expiration will qualify.
Continued or extended access without a qualifying public announcement from Anthropic will not qualify.
The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that access to "Claude Fable 5" will remain permanently or indefinitely included on qualifying paid plans, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying announcement requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An announcement covering all paid plans does qualify. An announcement covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify.
An announcement extending access only through a specified date or for another temporary period will not qualify. Access described as permanent, indefinite, ongoing, or continuing without a stated expiration will qualify.
Continued or extended access without a qualifying public announcement from Anthropic will not qualify.
The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic's rollout of Claude Fable 5, its most capable widely available model for complex reasoning and agentic tasks, has centered trader attention on access terms. Launched in early June 2026 alongside Mythos 5, Fable 5 initially offered limited free quota to Pro, Max, Team, and Enterprise subscribers before shifting toward usage-based billing at API rates of $10 per million input tokens and $50 per million output tokens starting mid-July. Recent extensions of promotional inclusion through July 19 reflect ongoing compute constraints and competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.6, while official statements tie any permanent subscription integration to future capacity increases rather than fixed timelines. Upcoming catalysts include Anthropic's next model cycle and potential policy updates that could clarify whether paid plans will retain no-extra-cost Fable 5 access or move fully to metered credits.
On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that access to "Claude Fable 5" will remain permanently or indefinitely included on qualifying paid plans, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying announcement requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An announcement covering all paid plans does qualify. An announcement covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify.
An announcement extending access only through a specified date or for another temporary period will not qualify. Access described as permanent, indefinite, ongoing, or continuing without a stated expiration will qualify.
Continued or extended access without a qualifying public announcement from Anthropic will not qualify.
The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that access to "Claude Fable 5" will remain permanently or indefinitely included on qualifying paid plans, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying announcement requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An announcement covering all paid plans does qualify. An announcement covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify.
An announcement extending access only through a specified date or for another temporary period will not qualify. Access described as permanent, indefinite, ongoing, or continuing without a stated expiration will qualify.
Continued or extended access without a qualifying public announcement from Anthropic will not qualify.
The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's rollout of Claude Fable 5, its most capable widely available model for complex reasoning and agentic tasks, has centered trader attention on access terms. Launched in early June 2026 alongside Mythos 5, Fable 5 initially offered limited free quota to Pro, Max, Team, and Enterprise subscribers before shifting toward usage-based billing at API rates of $10 per million input tokens and $50 per million output tokens starting mid-July. Recent extensions of promotional inclusion through July 19 reflect ongoing compute constraints and competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.6, while official statements tie any permanent subscription integration to future capacity increases rather than fixed timelines. Upcoming catalysts include Anthropic's next model cycle and potential policy updates that could clarify whether paid plans will retain no-extra-cost Fable 5 access or move fully to metered credits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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