Steve Hilton's commanding 97.5% implied probability in the Orange County portion of California's June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary reflects strong Republican consolidation behind the former Fox News host and UK political adviser, who captured roughly 35% of the county vote amid a fragmented Democratic field. Orange County's voter base and primary dynamics favored Hilton over rivals like Chad Bianco, while Democratic contenders including Xavier Becerra, Katie Porter, Tom Steyer, and others split support. With results largely finalized post-election and Hilton advancing statewide to face Becerra in November, late shifts would require unusually large swings in outstanding ballots or certification adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCalifornia Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner
California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner
Steve Hilton 97.5%
Matt Mahan 1.5%
Chad Bianco 1.1%
Xavier Becerra 1.1%
$4,766 Vol.
$4,766 Vol.
2 giu 2026
Steve Hilton
98%
Matt Mahan
2%
Chad Bianco
1%
Xavier Becerra
1%
Tony Thurmond
1%
Tom Steyer
1%
Katie Porter
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Steve Hilton 97.5%
Matt Mahan 1.5%
Chad Bianco 1.1%
Xavier Becerra 1.1%
$4,766 Vol.
$4,766 Vol.
2 giu 2026
Steve Hilton
$1,678 Vol.
98%
Matt Mahan
$165 Vol.
2%
Chad Bianco
$1,218 Vol.
1%
Xavier Becerra
$766 Vol.
1%
Tony Thurmond
$200 Vol.
1%
Tom Steyer
$217 Vol.
1%
Katie Porter
$228 Vol.
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$294 Vol.
<1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Steve Hilton's commanding 97.5% implied probability in the Orange County portion of California's June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary reflects strong Republican consolidation behind the former Fox News host and UK political adviser, who captured roughly 35% of the county vote amid a fragmented Democratic field. Orange County's voter base and primary dynamics favored Hilton over rivals like Chad Bianco, while Democratic contenders including Xavier Becerra, Katie Porter, Tom Steyer, and others split support. With results largely finalized post-election and Hilton advancing statewide to face Becerra in November, late shifts would require unusually large swings in outstanding ballots or certification adjustments.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Mercato aperto: May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
Volume
$4,766Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Steve Hilton's commanding 97.5% implied probability in the Orange County portion of California's June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary reflects strong Republican consolidation behind the former Fox News host and UK political adviser, who captured roughly 35% of the county vote amid a fragmented Democratic field. Orange County's voter base and primary dynamics favored Hilton over rivals like Chad Bianco, while Democratic contenders including Xavier Becerra, Katie Porter, Tom Steyer, and others split support. With results largely finalized post-election and Hilton advancing statewide to face Becerra in November, late shifts would require unusually large swings in outstanding ballots or certification adjustments.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$4,766Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Steve Hilton's commanding 97.5% implied probability in the Orange County portion of California's June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary reflects strong Republican consolidation behind the former Fox News host and UK political adviser, who captured roughly 35% of the county vote amid a fragmented Democratic field. Orange County's voter base and primary dynamics favored Hilton over rivals like Chad Bianco, while Democratic contenders including Xavier Becerra, Katie Porter, Tom Steyer, and others split support. With results largely finalized post-election and Hilton advancing statewide to face Becerra in November, late shifts would require unusually large swings in outstanding ballots or certification adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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