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Politics·Mexico

Chihuahua Governor Election Winner

icon for Chihuahua Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Chihuahua Governor Election Winner

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 34%

Jesús Valenciano García 33%

Santiago de la Peña Grajeda 32%

Graciela Ortiz González 31%

Polymarket
NEW

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 34%

Jesús Valenciano García 33%

Santiago de la Peña Grajeda 32%

Graciela Ortiz González 31%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Cruz Pérez Cuéllar

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar

$33 Vol.

34%

icon for Jesús Valenciano García

Jesús Valenciano García

$33 Vol.

33%

icon for Santiago de la Peña Grajeda

Santiago de la Peña Grajeda

$33 Vol.

32%

icon for Graciela Ortiz González

Graciela Ortiz González

$33 Vol.

31%

icon for Marco Bonilla Mendoza

Marco Bonilla Mendoza

$33 Vol.

31%

icon for Andrea Chávez Treviño

Andrea Chávez Treviño

$33 Vol.

31%

icon for Gilberto Loya Chávez

Gilberto Loya Chávez

$33 Vol.

31%

icon for Rosana Díaz Reyes

Rosana Díaz Reyes

$33 Vol.

31%

icon for Martín Chaparro Payán

Martín Chaparro Payán

$33 Vol.

31%

icon for Mario Vázquez Robles

Mario Vázquez Robles

$33 Vol.

30%

icon for Alfredo Lozoya Santillán

Alfredo Lozoya Santillán

$33 Vol.

30%

icon for Julián LeBarón

Julián LeBarón

$33 Vol.

30%

icon for Daniela Álvarez Hernández

Daniela Álvarez Hernández

$33 Vol.

29%

icon for Francisco Sánchez Villegas

Francisco Sánchez Villegas

$33 Vol.

29%

icon for Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez

Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez

$33 Vol.

28%

icon for Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant

Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant

$33 Vol.

27%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Chihuahua gubernatorial race for 2027 remains highly competitive, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of more than two dozen potential candidates across Morena, PAN, PRI, and smaller parties. Internal divisions within Morena—particularly between leading contenders Cruz Pérez Cuéllar and Andrea Chávez Treviño—have slowed coalition formation and made the binding poll process contentious, while PAN holds the incumbent advantage through María Eugenia Campos Galván’s administration. Recent Mitofsky and El Economista surveys show Morena preferences in the low-to-mid 30s against a divided opposition, keeping individual candidate odds clustered near one another. Party conventions, alliance negotiations, and any late shifts in voter sentiment ahead of the June 2027 vote could quickly widen the gap among frontrunners.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$528
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Chihuahua gubernatorial race for 2027 remains highly competitive, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of more than two dozen potential candidates across Morena, PAN, PRI, and smaller parties. Internal divisions within Morena—particularly between leading contenders Cruz Pérez Cuéllar and Andrea Chávez Treviño—have slowed coalition formation and made the binding poll process contentious, while PAN holds the incumbent advantage through María Eugenia Campos Galván’s administration. Recent Mitofsky and El Economista surveys show Morena preferences in the low-to-mid 30s against a divided opposition, keeping individual candidate odds clustered near one another. Party conventions, alliance negotiations, and any late shifts in voter sentiment ahead of the June 2027 vote could quickly widen the gap among frontrunners.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$528
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cruz Pérez Cuéllar" at 34%, followed by "Jesús Valenciano García" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Chihuahua Governor Election Winner," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" is "Cruz Pérez Cuéllar" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jesús Valenciano García" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.