Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31, reflecting stabilization after a 10% Tesla (TSLA) share price pullback over the past 30 days to a May 14 close of $443.30, partially offset by SpaceX valuation surges toward $1.75 trillion amid IPO speculation and xAI's $250 billion post-money valuation from its December 2025 Series E raise. Forbes real-time tracking shows Musk's wealth at $826.3 billion as of May 15, up 0.17% daily, driven primarily by his ~12% TSLA stake (~$178 billion) and larger SpaceX holdings (~$336 billion+). Downside risks in 680-690 billion (17.5%) and lower brackets stem from TSLA volatility ahead of potential Q2 previews and broader market corrections, with resolution looming in two weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated690b+ 54%
680-690b 16%
670-680b 14%
660-670b 8%
$18,440 Vol.
$18,440 Vol.
<610b
1%
610-620b
3%
620-630b
5%
630-640b
3%
640-650b
4%
650-660b
5%
660-670b
8%
670-680b
14%
680-690b
18%
690b+
54%
690b+ 54%
680-690b 16%
670-680b 14%
660-670b 8%
$18,440 Vol.
$18,440 Vol.
<610b
1%
610-620b
3%
620-630b
5%
630-640b
3%
640-650b
4%
650-660b
5%
660-670b
8%
670-680b
14%
680-690b
18%
690b+
54%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31, reflecting stabilization after a 10% Tesla (TSLA) share price pullback over the past 30 days to a May 14 close of $443.30, partially offset by SpaceX valuation surges toward $1.75 trillion amid IPO speculation and xAI's $250 billion post-money valuation from its December 2025 Series E raise. Forbes real-time tracking shows Musk's wealth at $826.3 billion as of May 15, up 0.17% daily, driven primarily by his ~12% TSLA stake (~$178 billion) and larger SpaceX holdings (~$336 billion+). Downside risks in 680-690 billion (17.5%) and lower brackets stem from TSLA volatility ahead of potential Q2 previews and broader market corrections, with resolution looming in two weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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