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icon for Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Economy·Macro Indicators

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

icon for Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Economy·Macro Indicators

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Jan 31, 2027

Jan 31, 2027

0-1.0% 49.6%

1.0-2.0% 44%

<0% 3.1%

2.0-3.0% <1%

Polymarket

$53,506 Vol.

0-1.0% 49.6%

1.0-2.0% 44%

<0% 3.1%

2.0-3.0% <1%

Polymarket

$53,506 Vol.

<0%

$2,837 Vol.

3%

0-1.0%

$17,551 Vol.

50%

1.0-2.0%

$16,364 Vol.

44%

2.0-3.0%

$2,308 Vol.

<1%

3.0-4.0%

$2,212 Vol.

<1%

4.0-5.0%

$3,338 Vol.

<1%

5.0-6.0%

$2,290 Vol.

<1%

6.0-7.0%

$3,762 Vol.

<1%

7.0%+

$2,844 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECB staff projections place euro area real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, aligning closely with Q2 data showing 0.4% quarter-on-quarter expansion after flat Q1 readings. This outlook reflects resilience to energy price volatility tied to Middle East developments, bolstered by German defense and infrastructure outlays, yet tempered by competitiveness pressures on exports and uneven national performance. Persistent inflation—projected to reach 3.0% for the year—supports expectations of further ECB tightening, with the deposit rate potentially rising another 25 basis points by year-end. The near-even market-implied odds between the 0-1.0% and 1.0-2.0% ranges capture uncertainty around fiscal stimulus effects, PMI momentum, and external demand, with limited probability assigned to contraction or stronger rebounds above 2%.

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,506
End Date
Jan 31, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECB staff projections place euro area real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, aligning closely with Q2 data showing 0.4% quarter-on-quarter expansion after flat Q1 readings. This outlook reflects resilience to energy price volatility tied to Middle East developments, bolstered by German defense and infrastructure outlays, yet tempered by competitiveness pressures on exports and uneven national performance. Persistent inflation—projected to reach 3.0% for the year—supports expectations of further ECB tightening, with the deposit rate potentially rising another 25 basis points by year-end. The near-even market-implied odds between the 0-1.0% and 1.0-2.0% ranges capture uncertainty around fiscal stimulus effects, PMI momentum, and external demand, with limited probability assigned to contraction or stronger rebounds above 2%.

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,506
End Date
Jan 31, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0-1.0%" at 50%, followed by "1.0-2.0%" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026" has generated $53.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026" is "0-1.0%" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1.0-2.0%" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.