Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds a fundraising and structural edge in Florida’s 27th congressional district, with over $2 million raised compared to Democratic challenger Eliott Rodriguez’s roughly $1.3 million through late September. The district’s Republican tilt, shown by Donald Trump’s 15-point 2024 margin, supports trader consensus favoring Salazar at 66.5 percent. Recent polling has tightened the race into the low single digits or a statistical tie, prompting the Cook Political Report to shift its rating to Lean Republican. Backlash among Hispanic voters over federal immigration enforcement has narrowed the gap, leading Salazar to air an ad urging comprehensive reform while Rodriguez highlights the issue in appearances backed by House Democratic leadership. Early voting begins October 24, with Election Day on November 3.
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