Long-serving Democratic incumbent Gregory Meeks faces Republican nominee George Marsh in the November 3, 2026, general election for New York’s 5th congressional district, a Southeast Queens seat with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index. Meeks advanced through the June primaries without significant opposition after raising substantial campaign funds, while the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive primary challenges reinforce the wide trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles further anchor expectations. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable within the current cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-05 House Election Winner
NY-05 House Election Winner
$53,084 Vol.
$53,084 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$53,084 Vol.
$53,084 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,963 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$32,120 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Long-serving Democratic incumbent Gregory Meeks faces Republican nominee George Marsh in the November 3, 2026, general election for New York’s 5th congressional district, a Southeast Queens seat with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index. Meeks advanced through the June primaries without significant opposition after raising substantial campaign funds, while the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive primary challenges reinforce the wide trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles further anchor expectations. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable within the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$53,084End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Long-serving Democratic incumbent Gregory Meeks faces Republican nominee George Marsh in the November 3, 2026, general election for New York’s 5th congressional district, a Southeast Queens seat with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index. Meeks advanced through the June primaries without significant opposition after raising substantial campaign funds, while the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive primary challenges reinforce the wide trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles further anchor expectations. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable within the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,084End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Long-serving Democratic incumbent Gregory Meeks faces Republican nominee George Marsh in the November 3, 2026, general election for New York’s 5th congressional district, a Southeast Queens seat with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index. Meeks advanced through the June primaries without significant opposition after raising substantial campaign funds, while the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive primary challenges reinforce the wide trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles further anchor expectations. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable within the current cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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