Recent official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ensemble models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Ankara on September 6, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime heating to 29–32 °C. This consensus, consistent across the past 48 hours amid a stable high-pressure pattern and no incoming frontal systems, underpins trader positioning around the 31–32 °C outcomes. September climatology places average highs near 27 °C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal warmth driven by clear skies and dry air masses. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observation window on resolution day remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
32°C 53%
31°C 34%
33°C 15%
30°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
34%
32°C
53%
33°C
15%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
31°C 34%
33°C 15%
30°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$164 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$39 Vol.
2%
29°C
$230 Vol.
2%
30°C
$934 Vol.
3%
31°C
$913 Vol.
34%
32°C
$1,265 Vol.
53%
33°C
$586 Vol.
15%
34°C
$150 Vol.
2%
35°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$125 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ensemble models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Ankara on September 6, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime heating to 29–32 °C. This consensus, consistent across the past 48 hours amid a stable high-pressure pattern and no incoming frontal systems, underpins trader positioning around the 31–32 °C outcomes. September climatology places average highs near 27 °C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal warmth driven by clear skies and dry air masses. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observation window on resolution day remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,716End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ensemble models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Ankara on September 6, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime heating to 29–32 °C. This consensus, consistent across the past 48 hours amid a stable high-pressure pattern and no incoming frontal systems, underpins trader positioning around the 31–32 °C outcomes. September climatology places average highs near 27 °C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal warmth driven by clear skies and dry air masses. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observation window on resolution day remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,716End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ensemble models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Ankara on September 6, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime heating to 29–32 °C. This consensus, consistent across the past 48 hours amid a stable high-pressure pattern and no incoming frontal systems, underpins trader positioning around the 31–32 °C outcomes. September climatology places average highs near 27 °C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal warmth driven by clear skies and dry air masses. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observation window on resolution day remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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