Trader sentiment centers on forecast models projecting a daily maximum near 12–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 12 amid typical late-winter conditions. A passing frontal boundary and variable cloud cover limit daytime heating, keeping surface temperatures close to seasonal climatology of 15–17°C highs while allowing modest variability from southeasterly flow and possible light precipitation. Ensemble guidance shows small spreads in 2-meter temperature and boundary-layer mixing, with 11°C outcomes tied to greater cloudiness reducing insolation and 13–14°C scenarios linked to brief clear intervals or warmer advection. Official observations and model updates through the day will determine the precise peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 12?
12°C 40%
13°C 33%
11°C 20%
14°C 6%
$15,602 Vol.
$15,602 Vol.
9°C or below
3%
10°C
5%
11°C
20%
12°C
40%
13°C
33%
14°C
6%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 40%
13°C 33%
11°C 20%
14°C 6%
$15,602 Vol.
$15,602 Vol.
9°C or below
3%
10°C
5%
11°C
20%
12°C
40%
13°C
33%
14°C
6%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on forecast models projecting a daily maximum near 12–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 12 amid typical late-winter conditions. A passing frontal boundary and variable cloud cover limit daytime heating, keeping surface temperatures close to seasonal climatology of 15–17°C highs while allowing modest variability from southeasterly flow and possible light precipitation. Ensemble guidance shows small spreads in 2-meter temperature and boundary-layer mixing, with 11°C outcomes tied to greater cloudiness reducing insolation and 13–14°C scenarios linked to brief clear intervals or warmer advection. Official observations and model updates through the day will determine the precise peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions