Forecast models from NOAA and regional analyses indicate a high near 70–73°F in Chicago today, driven by moderating southwesterly flow behind a weak frontal passage, increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and dew points in the upper 50s curbing further warming. Ensemble spreads in guidance show modest uncertainty from variable boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of any light showers, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Historical June climatology places the daily normal high near 76°F, so current conditions reflect a below-average setup that traders have incorporated into the narrow probability distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 14 giugno?
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 33%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 12%
$24,457 Vol.
$24,457 Vol.
59°F o inferiore
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
1%
78°F o superiore
<1%
70-71°F 38%
72-73°F 33%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 12%
$24,457 Vol.
$24,457 Vol.
59°F o inferiore
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
1%
78°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and regional analyses indicate a high near 70–73°F in Chicago today, driven by moderating southwesterly flow behind a weak frontal passage, increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and dew points in the upper 50s curbing further warming. Ensemble spreads in guidance show modest uncertainty from variable boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of any light showers, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Historical June climatology places the daily normal high near 76°F, so current conditions reflect a below-average setup that traders have incorporated into the narrow probability distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti