Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high around 34–36°C for Chongqing on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, driven by a strengthening subtropical high and reduced moisture advection into the Sichuan Basin. Ensemble spreads and recent runs show modest uncertainty from local topography and urban heat island effects, which can add 1–2°C to official readings. Trader consensus clusters on 35°C and 36°C as the resolution range because historical analogs for late-summer clear days in the region rarely exceed 37°C or drop below 33°C this early in September. New CMA and ECMWF updates expected August 31 could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 1?
35°C 37%
36°C 28%
34°C 17%
38°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
9%
34°C
17%
35°C
37%
36°C
28%
37°C
7%
38°C
10%
39°C or higher
3%
35°C 37%
36°C 28%
34°C 17%
38°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
29°C or below
$116 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$12 Vol.
8%
33°C
$2 Vol.
9%
34°C
$0 Vol.
17%
35°C
$0 Vol.
37%
36°C
$58 Vol.
28%
37°C
$52 Vol.
7%
38°C
$0 Vol.
10%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high around 34–36°C for Chongqing on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, driven by a strengthening subtropical high and reduced moisture advection into the Sichuan Basin. Ensemble spreads and recent runs show modest uncertainty from local topography and urban heat island effects, which can add 1–2°C to official readings. Trader consensus clusters on 35°C and 36°C as the resolution range because historical analogs for late-summer clear days in the region rarely exceed 37°C or drop below 33°C this early in September. New CMA and ECMWF updates expected August 31 could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$228End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high around 34–36°C for Chongqing on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, driven by a strengthening subtropical high and reduced moisture advection into the Sichuan Basin. Ensemble spreads and recent runs show modest uncertainty from local topography and urban heat island effects, which can add 1–2°C to official readings. Trader consensus clusters on 35°C and 36°C as the resolution range because historical analogs for late-summer clear days in the region rarely exceed 37°C or drop below 33°C this early in September. New CMA and ECMWF updates expected August 31 could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$228End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high around 34–36°C for Chongqing on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, driven by a strengthening subtropical high and reduced moisture advection into the Sichuan Basin. Ensemble spreads and recent runs show modest uncertainty from local topography and urban heat island effects, which can add 1–2°C to official readings. Trader consensus clusters on 35°C and 36°C as the resolution range because historical analogs for late-summer clear days in the region rarely exceed 37°C or drop below 33°C this early in September. New CMA and ECMWF updates expected August 31 could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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