**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 16, 2026, center on a maximum temperature near 102°F under sunny skies, directly supporting the market's leading 102-103°F outcome at 59.5% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure has produced clear conditions with minimal cloud cover, allowing strong solar insolation to drive surface heating, while light south-southwest winds promote warm-air advection without significant mixing or moisture. Forecast models show high consensus on these factors, with negligible rain chances keeping temperatures from cooling. This aligns with an above-normal August pattern featuring heat advisories and highs well above the ~96°F climatological average. Slight downside risk to 100-101°F (20.5%) or upside to 104-105°F (18.5%) reflects minor uncertainties in exact peak timing or localized variations, but current guidance from NOAA places the most likely range squarely at 102-103°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 16?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 16?
102-103°F 60%
100-101°F 21%
104-105°F 19%
106-107°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
21%
102-103°F
60%
104-105°F
19%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 60%
100-101°F 21%
104-105°F 19%
106-107°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
95°F or below
$16 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$61 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$11 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$232 Vol.
21%
102-103°F
$1,060 Vol.
60%
104-105°F
$863 Vol.
19%
106-107°F
$1,137 Vol.
3%
108-109°F
$15 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$29 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$262 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$266 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 16, 2026, center on a maximum temperature near 102°F under sunny skies, directly supporting the market's leading 102-103°F outcome at 59.5% implied probability.**
Persistent high pressure has produced clear conditions with minimal cloud cover, allowing strong solar insolation to drive surface heating, while light south-southwest winds promote warm-air advection without significant mixing or moisture. Forecast models show high consensus on these factors, with negligible rain chances keeping temperatures from cooling. This aligns with an above-normal August pattern featuring heat advisories and highs well above the ~96°F climatological average.
Slight downside risk to 100-101°F (20.5%) or upside to 104-105°F (18.5%) reflects minor uncertainties in exact peak timing or localized variations, but current guidance from NOAA places the most likely range squarely at 102-103°F.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$3,952End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 16, 2026, center on a maximum temperature near 102°F under sunny skies, directly supporting the market's leading 102-103°F outcome at 59.5% implied probability.**
Persistent high pressure has produced clear conditions with minimal cloud cover, allowing strong solar insolation to drive surface heating, while light south-southwest winds promote warm-air advection without significant mixing or moisture. Forecast models show high consensus on these factors, with negligible rain chances keeping temperatures from cooling. This aligns with an above-normal August pattern featuring heat advisories and highs well above the ~96°F climatological average.
Slight downside risk to 100-101°F (20.5%) or upside to 104-105°F (18.5%) reflects minor uncertainties in exact peak timing or localized variations, but current guidance from NOAA places the most likely range squarely at 102-103°F.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,952End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 16, 2026, center on a maximum temperature near 102°F under sunny skies, directly supporting the market's leading 102-103°F outcome at 59.5% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure has produced clear conditions with minimal cloud cover, allowing strong solar insolation to drive surface heating, while light south-southwest winds promote warm-air advection without significant mixing or moisture. Forecast models show high consensus on these factors, with negligible rain chances keeping temperatures from cooling. This aligns with an above-normal August pattern featuring heat advisories and highs well above the ~96°F climatological average. Slight downside risk to 100-101°F (20.5%) or upside to 104-105°F (18.5%) reflects minor uncertainties in exact peak timing or localized variations, but current guidance from NOAA places the most likely range squarely at 102-103°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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