**Trader consensus centers on a 94-95°F high for Denver on August 12, 2026 (54.5% implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of 93–96°F amid a lingering heat ridge.** This range aligns with model consensus from the NWS Boulder office, which projects a mostly sunny morning transitioning to scattered thunderstorms after midday, with a forecast high near 93°F at Denver International Airport. Recent record heat—Denver hit 102°F on August 3, shattering a 148-year mark—has kept the broader pattern warmer than the 88–89°F August normal, yet increasing atmospheric moisture and convective activity today introduce cooling potential through cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and storm outflows. Higher bins (96–97°F at 8.5%) remain possible if storms develop late or miss the metro, while lower outcomes gain little traction given the established warmth. Key upcoming factors include real-time NWS updates on storm timing and intensity, which directly influence whether the daily maximum settles in the mid-90s or edges higher before convection peaks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 12?
94-95°F 47%
92-93°F 32%
90-91°F 9%
96-97°F 8%
$18,621 Vol.
$18,621 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
32%
94-95°F
47%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 47%
92-93°F 32%
90-91°F 9%
96-97°F 8%
$18,621 Vol.
$18,621 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
87°F or below
$2,140 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$2,806 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$4,377 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$1,897 Vol.
32%
94-95°F
$3,288 Vol.
47%
96-97°F
$1,369 Vol.
8%
98-99°F
$697 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$352 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$921 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$388 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$386 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 94-95°F high for Denver on August 12, 2026 (54.5% implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of 93–96°F amid a lingering heat ridge.**
This range aligns with model consensus from the NWS Boulder office, which projects a mostly sunny morning transitioning to scattered thunderstorms after midday, with a forecast high near 93°F at Denver International Airport. Recent record heat—Denver hit 102°F on August 3, shattering a 148-year mark—has kept the broader pattern warmer than the 88–89°F August normal, yet increasing atmospheric moisture and convective activity today introduce cooling potential through cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and storm outflows.
Higher bins (96–97°F at 8.5%) remain possible if storms develop late or miss the metro, while lower outcomes gain little traction given the established warmth. Key upcoming factors include real-time NWS updates on storm timing and intensity, which directly influence whether the daily maximum settles in the mid-90s or edges higher before convection peaks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$18,621End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 94-95°F high for Denver on August 12, 2026 (54.5% implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of 93–96°F amid a lingering heat ridge.**
This range aligns with model consensus from the NWS Boulder office, which projects a mostly sunny morning transitioning to scattered thunderstorms after midday, with a forecast high near 93°F at Denver International Airport. Recent record heat—Denver hit 102°F on August 3, shattering a 148-year mark—has kept the broader pattern warmer than the 88–89°F August normal, yet increasing atmospheric moisture and convective activity today introduce cooling potential through cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and storm outflows.
Higher bins (96–97°F at 8.5%) remain possible if storms develop late or miss the metro, while lower outcomes gain little traction given the established warmth. Key upcoming factors include real-time NWS updates on storm timing and intensity, which directly influence whether the daily maximum settles in the mid-90s or edges higher before convection peaks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,621End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 94-95°F high for Denver on August 12, 2026 (54.5% implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of 93–96°F amid a lingering heat ridge.** This range aligns with model consensus from the NWS Boulder office, which projects a mostly sunny morning transitioning to scattered thunderstorms after midday, with a forecast high near 93°F at Denver International Airport. Recent record heat—Denver hit 102°F on August 3, shattering a 148-year mark—has kept the broader pattern warmer than the 88–89°F August normal, yet increasing atmospheric moisture and convective activity today introduce cooling potential through cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and storm outflows. Higher bins (96–97°F at 8.5%) remain possible if storms develop late or miss the metro, while lower outcomes gain little traction given the established warmth. Key upcoming factors include real-time NWS updates on storm timing and intensity, which directly influence whether the daily maximum settles in the mid-90s or edges higher before convection peaks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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