Jeddah’s mid-June climatology, featuring average daily highs near 37°C driven by intense solar insolation over the Red Sea coastal plain and persistently light winds, underpins the closely matched market probabilities for 35–37°C outcomes. Short-term forecast guidance from regional models shows peak temperatures modulated by subtle variations in onshore breeze strength and boundary-layer humidity, which can suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C. Clear skies and negligible precipitation risk maintain the narrow daily range typical of early summer, while any late-day dust advection or minor model spread in maximum wind speeds creates the observed uncertainty among the top three bins. Traders are weighting recent observational trends and ensemble consensus, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the peak heating hour.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 14?
36°C 57.9%
37°C 33%
38°C 1.5%
39°C or higher <1%
$19,410 Vol.
$19,410 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
34%
36°C
44%
37°C
33%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 57.9%
37°C 33%
38°C 1.5%
39°C or higher <1%
$19,410 Vol.
$19,410 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
34%
36°C
44%
37°C
33%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jeddah’s mid-June climatology, featuring average daily highs near 37°C driven by intense solar insolation over the Red Sea coastal plain and persistently light winds, underpins the closely matched market probabilities for 35–37°C outcomes. Short-term forecast guidance from regional models shows peak temperatures modulated by subtle variations in onshore breeze strength and boundary-layer humidity, which can suppress or enhance afternoon heating by 1–2°C. Clear skies and negligible precipitation risk maintain the narrow daily range typical of early summer, while any late-day dust advection or minor model spread in maximum wind speeds creates the observed uncertainty among the top three bins. Traders are weighting recent observational trends and ensemble consensus, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the peak heating hour.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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