**Forecast consensus across multiple meteorological models places Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 26 firmly in the low-to-mid 30s°C range (roughly 30–35°C), far above the 26°C threshold.** This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average highs typically decline gradually from 31°C early in the month toward 28°C by month’s end, yet daily peaks routinely exceed 30°C amid persistent summer warmth and humidity. Recent model runs show no significant cooling signals such as an advancing cold front or anomalous cloud cover that would suppress daytime heating. The 99.7% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong agreement and the low historical frequency of sub-26°C highs in Jinan during peak summer. Only an unexpected, rapid shift in steering patterns or localized measurement discrepancies could alter the outcome at this short lead time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 26?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 26?
26°C or higher 99.7%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.7%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
16°C or below
$200 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$41 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus across multiple meteorological models places Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 26 firmly in the low-to-mid 30s°C range (roughly 30–35°C), far above the 26°C threshold.** This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average highs typically decline gradually from 31°C early in the month toward 28°C by month’s end, yet daily peaks routinely exceed 30°C amid persistent summer warmth and humidity. Recent model runs show no significant cooling signals such as an advancing cold front or anomalous cloud cover that would suppress daytime heating. The 99.7% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong agreement and the low historical frequency of sub-26°C highs in Jinan during peak summer. Only an unexpected, rapid shift in steering patterns or localized measurement discrepancies could alter the outcome at this short lead time.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,776End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus across multiple meteorological models places Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 26 firmly in the low-to-mid 30s°C range (roughly 30–35°C), far above the 26°C threshold.** This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average highs typically decline gradually from 31°C early in the month toward 28°C by month’s end, yet daily peaks routinely exceed 30°C amid persistent summer warmth and humidity. Recent model runs show no significant cooling signals such as an advancing cold front or anomalous cloud cover that would suppress daytime heating. The 99.7% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong agreement and the low historical frequency of sub-26°C highs in Jinan during peak summer. Only an unexpected, rapid shift in steering patterns or localized measurement discrepancies could alter the outcome at this short lead time.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,776End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus across multiple meteorological models places Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 26 firmly in the low-to-mid 30s°C range (roughly 30–35°C), far above the 26°C threshold.** This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average highs typically decline gradually from 31°C early in the month toward 28°C by month’s end, yet daily peaks routinely exceed 30°C amid persistent summer warmth and humidity. Recent model runs show no significant cooling signals such as an advancing cold front or anomalous cloud cover that would suppress daytime heating. The 99.7% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong agreement and the low historical frequency of sub-26°C highs in Jinan during peak summer. Only an unexpected, rapid shift in steering patterns or localized measurement discrepancies could alter the outcome at this short lead time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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