**Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and major models converge on a maximum of 35°C in Lucknow today under partly cloudy to generally cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Monsoon conditions, including high humidity and limited diurnal heating from cloud cover, support this outcome, aligning with August climatology where daytime highs typically range 31–35°C. Recent observations show maxima near 33–35°C, and the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by IMD; brief clear intervals or heavier localized rainfall could still shift the outcome by 1–2°C, though updated model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before the day ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 12?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$41,782 Vol.
$41,782 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$41,782 Vol.
$41,782 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
$451 Vol.
No
29°C
$331 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,245 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,912 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,595 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,113 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,859 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,414 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$6,245 Vol.
No
37°C
$7,175 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$4,442 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and major models converge on a maximum of 35°C in Lucknow today under partly cloudy to generally cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Monsoon conditions, including high humidity and limited diurnal heating from cloud cover, support this outcome, aligning with August climatology where daytime highs typically range 31–35°C. Recent observations show maxima near 33–35°C, and the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by IMD; brief clear intervals or heavier localized rainfall could still shift the outcome by 1–2°C, though updated model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before the day ends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$41,782End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and major models converge on a maximum of 35°C in Lucknow today under partly cloudy to generally cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Monsoon conditions, including high humidity and limited diurnal heating from cloud cover, support this outcome, aligning with August climatology where daytime highs typically range 31–35°C. Recent observations show maxima near 33–35°C, and the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by IMD; brief clear intervals or heavier localized rainfall could still shift the outcome by 1–2°C, though updated model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before the day ends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,782End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and major models converge on a maximum of 35°C in Lucknow today under partly cloudy to generally cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Monsoon conditions, including high humidity and limited diurnal heating from cloud cover, support this outcome, aligning with August climatology where daytime highs typically range 31–35°C. Recent observations show maxima near 33–35°C, and the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by IMD; brief clear intervals or heavier localized rainfall could still shift the outcome by 1–2°C, though updated model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before the day ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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