Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts project a 36°C maximum for Lucknow on September 22 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, yet trader consensus centers on 34°C as the likeliest outcome. Recent observations from September 20–21 recorded afternoon highs of 35–36°C with humidity near 40–50%, while international models incorporate a 30% chance of scattered thunderstorms and light northwest winds that may cap daytime heating. This aligns with typical late-September post-monsoon conditions in Uttar Pradesh, where peak temperatures often moderate from midsummer levels amid increasing cloud cover and residual moisture. Updated model runs and official briefings expected on September 22 could further refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 22?
34°C 52%
35°C 28%
33°C 13%
36°C 6%
$12,446 Vol.
$12,446 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
13%
34°C
52%
35°C
28%
36°C
6%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 52%
35°C 28%
33°C 13%
36°C 6%
$12,446 Vol.
$12,446 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
13%
34°C
52%
35°C
28%
36°C
6%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts project a 36°C maximum for Lucknow on September 22 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, yet trader consensus centers on 34°C as the likeliest outcome. Recent observations from September 20–21 recorded afternoon highs of 35–36°C with humidity near 40–50%, while international models incorporate a 30% chance of scattered thunderstorms and light northwest winds that may cap daytime heating. This aligns with typical late-September post-monsoon conditions in Uttar Pradesh, where peak temperatures often moderate from midsummer levels amid increasing cloud cover and residual moisture. Updated model runs and official briefings expected on September 22 could further refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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