**Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow stations project a maximum of 35°C on September 20 under mainly clear skies, following observed highs of 32–34°C on September 18–19 amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered light rain.** This aligns with typical late-monsoon transition patterns in the region, where high humidity (around 80% mornings) and light easterly winds moderate peak heating compared to drier pre-monsoon periods. Trader consensus favoring 34°C (50.5% implied probability) over 35°C (15%) likely reflects model spread, potential for increased cloud cover or isolated showers to cap temperatures slightly below official guidance, and historical September variability around the 32–35°C range. Upcoming IMD updates and real-time observations tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 20?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 20?
34°C 51%
33°C 27%
35°C 15%
32°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
27%
34°C
51%
35°C
15%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 51%
33°C 27%
35°C 15%
32°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
28°C or below
$522 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$648 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$161 Vol.
1%
31°C
$117 Vol.
1%
32°C
$123 Vol.
5%
33°C
$613 Vol.
27%
34°C
$295 Vol.
51%
35°C
$288 Vol.
15%
36°C
$154 Vol.
2%
37°C
$320 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$425 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow stations project a maximum of 35°C on September 20 under mainly clear skies, following observed highs of 32–34°C on September 18–19 amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered light rain.** This aligns with typical late-monsoon transition patterns in the region, where high humidity (around 80% mornings) and light easterly winds moderate peak heating compared to drier pre-monsoon periods. Trader consensus favoring 34°C (50.5% implied probability) over 35°C (15%) likely reflects model spread, potential for increased cloud cover or isolated showers to cap temperatures slightly below official guidance, and historical September variability around the 32–35°C range. Upcoming IMD updates and real-time observations tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,633End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow stations project a maximum of 35°C on September 20 under mainly clear skies, following observed highs of 32–34°C on September 18–19 amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered light rain.** This aligns with typical late-monsoon transition patterns in the region, where high humidity (around 80% mornings) and light easterly winds moderate peak heating compared to drier pre-monsoon periods. Trader consensus favoring 34°C (50.5% implied probability) over 35°C (15%) likely reflects model spread, potential for increased cloud cover or isolated showers to cap temperatures slightly below official guidance, and historical September variability around the 32–35°C range. Upcoming IMD updates and real-time observations tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,633End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow stations project a maximum of 35°C on September 20 under mainly clear skies, following observed highs of 32–34°C on September 18–19 amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered light rain.** This aligns with typical late-monsoon transition patterns in the region, where high humidity (around 80% mornings) and light easterly winds moderate peak heating compared to drier pre-monsoon periods. Trader consensus favoring 34°C (50.5% implied probability) over 35°C (15%) likely reflects model spread, potential for increased cloud cover or isolated showers to cap temperatures slightly below official guidance, and historical September variability around the 32–35°C range. Upcoming IMD updates and real-time observations tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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