Persistent monsoon conditions over Lucknow on August 17, 2026, with overcast skies, light to moderate rain or thundershowers, and high humidity are the main factors capping daytime heating and positioning 28°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from sources aligned with IMD models cluster expected highs between 25–29°C, reflecting reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation, which historically suppress peaks by several degrees during active monsoon phases. Trader consensus around 28–29°C incorporates model agreement on these dynamics while allowing for minor variance in rainfall timing or intensity that could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Upcoming afternoon observations will determine final resolution against the 28°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 17?
28°C 60%
29°C 24%
30°C 9%
31°C 7%
NEW
$17,696 Vol.
NEW
$17,696 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
60%
29°C
24%
30°C
9%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 60%
29°C 24%
30°C 9%
31°C 7%
NEW
$17,696 Vol.
NEW
$17,696 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
$191 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$724 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$951 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,881 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,694 Vol.
60%
29°C
$3,090 Vol.
24%
30°C
$1,372 Vol.
9%
31°C
$2,911 Vol.
7%
32°C
$1,350 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,411 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,122 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon conditions over Lucknow on August 17, 2026, with overcast skies, light to moderate rain or thundershowers, and high humidity are the main factors capping daytime heating and positioning 28°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from sources aligned with IMD models cluster expected highs between 25–29°C, reflecting reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation, which historically suppress peaks by several degrees during active monsoon phases. Trader consensus around 28–29°C incorporates model agreement on these dynamics while allowing for minor variance in rainfall timing or intensity that could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Upcoming afternoon observations will determine final resolution against the 28°C threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$17,696End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon conditions over Lucknow on August 17, 2026, with overcast skies, light to moderate rain or thundershowers, and high humidity are the main factors capping daytime heating and positioning 28°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from sources aligned with IMD models cluster expected highs between 25–29°C, reflecting reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation, which historically suppress peaks by several degrees during active monsoon phases. Trader consensus around 28–29°C incorporates model agreement on these dynamics while allowing for minor variance in rainfall timing or intensity that could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Upcoming afternoon observations will determine final resolution against the 28°C threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,696End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon conditions over Lucknow on August 17, 2026, with overcast skies, light to moderate rain or thundershowers, and high humidity are the main factors capping daytime heating and positioning 28°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from sources aligned with IMD models cluster expected highs between 25–29°C, reflecting reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation, which historically suppress peaks by several degrees during active monsoon phases. Trader consensus around 28–29°C incorporates model agreement on these dynamics while allowing for minor variance in rainfall timing or intensity that could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Upcoming afternoon observations will determine final resolution against the 28°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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