Traders have converged on 29°C as the highest temperature in Lucknow on August 4 due to consistent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department showing generally cloudy conditions with spells of rain or thundershowers, capping daytime maxima near 31°C amid active monsoon flow. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August in the region, where cloud cover and precipitation typically suppress peaks below seasonal averages of 32–34°C. Model consensus reinforces limited intensification potential, with steering patterns favoring widespread moisture. A sudden clearing of skies or delayed rainfall could allow temperatures to edge higher, though current observational trends and ensemble guidance make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 4?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 4?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$27,047 Vol.
$27,047 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$27,047 Vol.
$27,047 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
24°C or below
$423 Vol.
No
25°C
$453 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,847 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,738 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,740 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,902 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$3,947 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,441 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,010 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,862 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$1,685 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 29°C as the highest temperature in Lucknow on August 4 due to consistent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department showing generally cloudy conditions with spells of rain or thundershowers, capping daytime maxima near 31°C amid active monsoon flow. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August in the region, where cloud cover and precipitation typically suppress peaks below seasonal averages of 32–34°C. Model consensus reinforces limited intensification potential, with steering patterns favoring widespread moisture. A sudden clearing of skies or delayed rainfall could allow temperatures to edge higher, though current observational trends and ensemble guidance make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$27,047End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 29°C as the highest temperature in Lucknow on August 4 due to consistent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department showing generally cloudy conditions with spells of rain or thundershowers, capping daytime maxima near 31°C amid active monsoon flow. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August in the region, where cloud cover and precipitation typically suppress peaks below seasonal averages of 32–34°C. Model consensus reinforces limited intensification potential, with steering patterns favoring widespread moisture. A sudden clearing of skies or delayed rainfall could allow temperatures to edge higher, though current observational trends and ensemble guidance make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,047End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on 29°C as the highest temperature in Lucknow on August 4 due to consistent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department showing generally cloudy conditions with spells of rain or thundershowers, capping daytime maxima near 31°C amid active monsoon flow. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August in the region, where cloud cover and precipitation typically suppress peaks below seasonal averages of 32–34°C. Model consensus reinforces limited intensification potential, with steering patterns favoring widespread moisture. A sudden clearing of skies or delayed rainfall could allow temperatures to edge higher, though current observational trends and ensemble guidance make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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