Recent monsoon activity, including low-pressure systems over central and northern India, drives widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall expected across Uttar Pradesh on September 1, moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow. Official forecasts from agencies like the IMD indicate highs likely in the 28–32°C range, below the early-September climatological average of around 31–34°C, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from heavy precipitation limit daytime warming. High humidity and persistent overcast conditions further differentiate outcomes near 30–31°C from slightly higher or lower values, with model consensus on rain timing and intensity as the key variables. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 1?
30°C 28%
31°C 22%
28°C 20%
29°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
20%
29°C
16%
30°C
28%
31°C
22%
32°C
12%
33°C
7%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 28%
31°C 22%
28°C 20%
29°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$18 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$45 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$3 Vol.
28%
31°C
$40 Vol.
22%
32°C
$8 Vol.
12%
33°C
$0 Vol.
7%
34°C
$7 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity, including low-pressure systems over central and northern India, drives widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall expected across Uttar Pradesh on September 1, moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow. Official forecasts from agencies like the IMD indicate highs likely in the 28–32°C range, below the early-September climatological average of around 31–34°C, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from heavy precipitation limit daytime warming. High humidity and persistent overcast conditions further differentiate outcomes near 30–31°C from slightly higher or lower values, with model consensus on rain timing and intensity as the key variables. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$143End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity, including low-pressure systems over central and northern India, drives widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall expected across Uttar Pradesh on September 1, moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow. Official forecasts from agencies like the IMD indicate highs likely in the 28–32°C range, below the early-September climatological average of around 31–34°C, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from heavy precipitation limit daytime warming. High humidity and persistent overcast conditions further differentiate outcomes near 30–31°C from slightly higher or lower values, with model consensus on rain timing and intensity as the key variables. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$143End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity, including low-pressure systems over central and northern India, drives widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall expected across Uttar Pradesh on September 1, moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow. Official forecasts from agencies like the IMD indicate highs likely in the 28–32°C range, below the early-September climatological average of around 31–34°C, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from heavy precipitation limit daytime warming. High humidity and persistent overcast conditions further differentiate outcomes near 30–31°C from slightly higher or lower values, with model consensus on rain timing and intensity as the key variables. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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