Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?

Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?

icon for Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?

Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 22

Aug 23

22°C 38%

23°C 26%

21°C 15%

24°C 14%

Polymarket
NEW

22°C 38%

23°C 26%

21°C 15%

24°C 14%

Polymarket
NEW

18°C or below

$111 Vol.

1%

19°C

$5 Vol.

3%

20°C

$33 Vol.

8%

21°C

$1 Vol.

15%

22°C

$18 Vol.

38%

23°C

$18 Vol.

26%

24°C

$34 Vol.

14%

25°C

$0 Vol.

4%

26°C

$44 Vol.

5%

27°C

$54 Vol.

6%

28°C or higher

$100 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 23 point to persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and thunderstorms, and light northerly winds that are suppressing daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near 21–22 °C. This rainy-season pattern, with high humidity and limited solar insolation, aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 22 °C (37.5 %) and 23 °C (26 %), while reducing odds for warmer readings. Official model runs and climatological context show typical late-August highs near 23 °C, but current conditions and the latest guidance favor slightly cooler values, concentrating trader consensus on the narrow 21–23 °C band ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$418
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 23 point to persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and thunderstorms, and light northerly winds that are suppressing daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near 21–22 °C. This rainy-season pattern, with high humidity and limited solar insolation, aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 22 °C (37.5 %) and 23 °C (26 %), while reducing odds for warmer readings. Official model runs and climatological context show typical late-August highs near 23 °C, but current conditions and the latest guidance favor slightly cooler values, concentrating trader consensus on the narrow 21–23 °C band ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$418
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

icon for Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 22?

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 22?

35%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on August 22?

Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on August 22?

28%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 24?

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 24?

33%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "22°C" at 38%, followed by "23°C" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?" is "22°C" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "23°C" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.