Recent short-range ensemble forecasts place Milan's July 13 maximum near 32–33 °C at official stations, creating the tight 36.5 %–30 % split in market-implied odds. Clear skies and subsiding high pressure favor strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, while modest southeasterly flow and urban heat-island effects in the Po Valley add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave or add a degree at peak afternoon heating. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on July 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 13?
32°C 37%
33°C 31%
34°C 17%
31°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Jul 13, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
16%
32°C
37%
33°C
31%
34°C
13%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
33°C 31%
34°C 17%
31°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Jul 13, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$4 Vol.
2%
30°C
$9 Vol.
6%
31°C
$19 Vol.
16%
32°C
$21 Vol.
37%
33°C
$23 Vol.
31%
34°C
$31 Vol.
13%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$39 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts place Milan's July 13 maximum near 32–33 °C at official stations, creating the tight 36.5 %–30 % split in market-implied odds. Clear skies and subsiding high pressure favor strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, while modest southeasterly flow and urban heat-island effects in the Po Valley add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave or add a degree at peak afternoon heating. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$149End Date
Jul 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts place Milan's July 13 maximum near 32–33 °C at official stations, creating the tight 36.5 %–30 % split in market-implied odds. Clear skies and subsiding high pressure favor strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, while modest southeasterly flow and urban heat-island effects in the Po Valley add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave or add a degree at peak afternoon heating. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$149End Date
Jul 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts place Milan's July 13 maximum near 32–33 °C at official stations, creating the tight 36.5 %–30 % split in market-implied odds. Clear skies and subsiding high pressure favor strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, while modest southeasterly flow and urban heat-island effects in the Po Valley add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave or add a degree at peak afternoon heating. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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