Recent short-range forecast guidance from the Central Weather Administration points to a peak temperature near 33–34 °C in Taipei on July 13, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. In Taipei’s subtropical climate, maximum readings are shaped by the strength of the East Asian monsoon flow, afternoon convective cloud cover that limits insolation, and urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites. Minor model differences in the timing or coverage of showers, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed spread across 32–35 °C bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on July 13?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 13?
34°C 28%
33°C 28%
35°C 13.6%
31°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
8%
33°C
28%
34°C
28%
35°C
14%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 28%
33°C 28%
35°C 13.6%
31°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 13, 2026
27°C or below
$26 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$22 Vol.
1%
29°C
$44 Vol.
1%
30°C
$23 Vol.
4%
31°C
$3 Vol.
10%
32°C
$0 Vol.
8%
33°C
$83 Vol.
28%
34°C
$16 Vol.
28%
35°C
$20 Vol.
14%
36°C
$291 Vol.
5%
37°C or higher
$59 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from the Central Weather Administration points to a peak temperature near 33–34 °C in Taipei on July 13, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. In Taipei’s subtropical climate, maximum readings are shaped by the strength of the East Asian monsoon flow, afternoon convective cloud cover that limits insolation, and urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites. Minor model differences in the timing or coverage of showers, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed spread across 32–35 °C bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$588End Date
Jul 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from the Central Weather Administration points to a peak temperature near 33–34 °C in Taipei on July 13, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. In Taipei’s subtropical climate, maximum readings are shaped by the strength of the East Asian monsoon flow, afternoon convective cloud cover that limits insolation, and urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites. Minor model differences in the timing or coverage of showers, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed spread across 32–35 °C bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$588End Date
Jul 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast guidance from the Central Weather Administration points to a peak temperature near 33–34 °C in Taipei on July 13, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. In Taipei’s subtropical climate, maximum readings are shaped by the strength of the East Asian monsoon flow, afternoon convective cloud cover that limits insolation, and urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites. Minor model differences in the timing or coverage of showers, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed spread across 32–35 °C bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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