Recent model consensus from sources including GFS runs points to a mostly clear, high-pressure setup over Munich on October 6, with afternoon highs likely reaching 20–23 °C under light easterly flow. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes. Current early-October observations show readings near 21 °C, above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 16.2 °C yet well below historical extremes near 26 °C. Forecast stability through the next 48 hours and limited model spread reinforce trader confidence in this narrow range, though any late shift in steering patterns or cloud cover could adjust the final maximum.