Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a maximum temperature of 86-87°F on August 11, driving the market's complete consensus on that range. Surface analyses showed typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and no strong high-pressure ridge to support further warming, aligning with climatological averages for the date. Model runs and real-time instrumentation from NOAA networks produced consistent readings without significant discrepancies. While preliminary data can occasionally undergo minor quality-control revisions or reflect microscale variations across boroughs, the margin below the next threshold makes any shift to 88°F or higher highly improbable given the settled observational record.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 11?
86-87°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$100,735 Vol.
$100,735 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$100,735 Vol.
$100,735 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
83°F or below
$14,245 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$15,671 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$18,753 Vol.
Yes
88-89°F
$15,807 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$17,613 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$8,845 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$4,509 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$1,123 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$880 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$2,867 Vol.
No
102°F or higher
$422 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a maximum temperature of 86-87°F on August 11, driving the market's complete consensus on that range. Surface analyses showed typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and no strong high-pressure ridge to support further warming, aligning with climatological averages for the date. Model runs and real-time instrumentation from NOAA networks produced consistent readings without significant discrepancies. While preliminary data can occasionally undergo minor quality-control revisions or reflect microscale variations across boroughs, the margin below the next threshold makes any shift to 88°F or higher highly improbable given the settled observational record.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$100,735End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a maximum temperature of 86-87°F on August 11, driving the market's complete consensus on that range. Surface analyses showed typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and no strong high-pressure ridge to support further warming, aligning with climatological averages for the date. Model runs and real-time instrumentation from NOAA networks produced consistent readings without significant discrepancies. While preliminary data can occasionally undergo minor quality-control revisions or reflect microscale variations across boroughs, the margin below the next threshold makes any shift to 88°F or higher highly improbable given the settled observational record.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$100,735End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a maximum temperature of 86-87°F on August 11, driving the market's complete consensus on that range. Surface analyses showed typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and no strong high-pressure ridge to support further warming, aligning with climatological averages for the date. Model runs and real-time instrumentation from NOAA networks produced consistent readings without significant discrepancies. While preliminary data can occasionally undergo minor quality-control revisions or reflect microscale variations across boroughs, the margin below the next threshold makes any shift to 88°F or higher highly improbable given the settled observational record.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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