Recent model consensus and current atmospheric conditions in Panama City, Panama, show typical September rainy-season setup with high humidity and scattered afternoon convection, creating tight uncertainty around peak daytime heating. Historical averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, yet reduced cloud cover or delayed thunderstorm development could push maxima to 34°C or higher on September 8. Traders assign roughly even weight to 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C-plus outcomes because forecast guidance diverges on exact timing and intensity of showers, which directly cap or allow brief radiative heating. Updated runs from regional models and local observations in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 8?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 8?
35°C or higher 41%
34°C 36%
33°C 18%
32°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
8%
33°C
18%
34°C
36%
35°C or higher
41%
35°C or higher 41%
34°C 36%
33°C 18%
32°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$375 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$117 Vol.
1%
29°C
$100 Vol.
2%
30°C
$203 Vol.
2%
31°C
$13 Vol.
4%
32°C
$86 Vol.
8%
33°C
$35 Vol.
18%
34°C
$49 Vol.
36%
35°C or higher
$1,491 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and current atmospheric conditions in Panama City, Panama, show typical September rainy-season setup with high humidity and scattered afternoon convection, creating tight uncertainty around peak daytime heating. Historical averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, yet reduced cloud cover or delayed thunderstorm development could push maxima to 34°C or higher on September 8. Traders assign roughly even weight to 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C-plus outcomes because forecast guidance diverges on exact timing and intensity of showers, which directly cap or allow brief radiative heating. Updated runs from regional models and local observations in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,862End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and current atmospheric conditions in Panama City, Panama, show typical September rainy-season setup with high humidity and scattered afternoon convection, creating tight uncertainty around peak daytime heating. Historical averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, yet reduced cloud cover or delayed thunderstorm development could push maxima to 34°C or higher on September 8. Traders assign roughly even weight to 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C-plus outcomes because forecast guidance diverges on exact timing and intensity of showers, which directly cap or allow brief radiative heating. Updated runs from regional models and local observations in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,862End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and current atmospheric conditions in Panama City, Panama, show typical September rainy-season setup with high humidity and scattered afternoon convection, creating tight uncertainty around peak daytime heating. Historical averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, yet reduced cloud cover or delayed thunderstorm development could push maxima to 34°C or higher on September 8. Traders assign roughly even weight to 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C-plus outcomes because forecast guidance diverges on exact timing and intensity of showers, which directly cap or allow brief radiative heating. Updated runs from regional models and local observations in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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