Recent forecasts from regional models indicate typical late-rainy-season conditions for Panama City, with overnight lows expected near 25–27 °C amid high humidity and scattered convection. The closely matched market-implied odds across 23–30 °C bins reflect uncertainty in the precise minimum, driven by variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, wind speed, and the timing of any showers that could suppress radiative cooling. Historical September climatology shows average lows of 23–25 °C, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures support slightly elevated readings. Updated model runs and official monitoring from regional meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine the expected minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 8?
30°C or higher 69%
20°C or below 59%
27°C 50%
28°C 48%
20°C or below
59%
21°C
32%
22°C
32%
23°C
47%
24°C
47%
25°C
30%
26°C
36%
27°C
50%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C or higher
69%
30°C or higher 69%
20°C or below 59%
27°C 50%
28°C 48%
20°C or below
59%
21°C
32%
22°C
32%
23°C
47%
24°C
47%
25°C
30%
26°C
36%
27°C
50%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models indicate typical late-rainy-season conditions for Panama City, with overnight lows expected near 25–27 °C amid high humidity and scattered convection. The closely matched market-implied odds across 23–30 °C bins reflect uncertainty in the precise minimum, driven by variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, wind speed, and the timing of any showers that could suppress radiative cooling. Historical September climatology shows average lows of 23–25 °C, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures support slightly elevated readings. Updated model runs and official monitoring from regional meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine the expected minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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