**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s June 14 maximum temperature centers on 23°C (50%) and 24°C (31%), reflecting model consensus that persistent cloud cover and showers will cap daytime heating.** June falls within Shanghai’s Meiyu (plum-rain) period, when monsoon moisture typically produces widespread stratiform clouds and light-to-moderate rain that reduces incoming solar radiation and limits surface warming. Latest official and private forecasts (timeanddate, AccuWeather, Met Office) show overcast or showery conditions with highs of 24–25 °C (75–77 °F) and only modest diurnal rises, consistent with observed temperatures near 24 °C at midday. Historical climatology places average June maxima near 27–29 °C, but the current synoptic pattern—enhanced moisture flux and weak pressure gradients—has shifted the distribution downward. With resolution imminent and little expected change in the steering flow or moisture supply before evening, the market-implied probabilities align closely with the narrow forecast envelope around 23–24 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 14. Juni?
23°C 49%
22°C 26.6%
24°C 22%
25°C 2.3%
$74,695 Vol.
$74,695 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
35%
23°C
49%
24°C
22%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 49%
22°C 26.6%
24°C 22%
25°C 2.3%
$74,695 Vol.
$74,695 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
35%
23°C
49%
24°C
22%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s June 14 maximum temperature centers on 23°C (50%) and 24°C (31%), reflecting model consensus that persistent cloud cover and showers will cap daytime heating.** June falls within Shanghai’s Meiyu (plum-rain) period, when monsoon moisture typically produces widespread stratiform clouds and light-to-moderate rain that reduces incoming solar radiation and limits surface warming. Latest official and private forecasts (timeanddate, AccuWeather, Met Office) show overcast or showery conditions with highs of 24–25 °C (75–77 °F) and only modest diurnal rises, consistent with observed temperatures near 24 °C at midday. Historical climatology places average June maxima near 27–29 °C, but the current synoptic pattern—enhanced moisture flux and weak pressure gradients—has shifted the distribution downward. With resolution imminent and little expected change in the steering flow or moisture supply before evening, the market-implied probabilities align closely with the narrow forecast envelope around 23–24 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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