Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including Met Office and European ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with clear skies, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover expected through September 12. These conditions favor afternoon highs near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv, consistent with climatological norms for early September where daily maxima average around 30–31°C. Sea-breeze effects and low humidity will limit further warming, keeping probabilities of 33°C or higher modest while making 32°C the consensus peak. Updated model runs show little deviation in the 48-hour window before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12?
32°C 69%
31°C 34%
33°C 24%
30°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
34%
32°C
69%
33°C
24%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 69%
31°C 34%
33°C 24%
30°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
9%
31°C
$3 Vol.
34%
32°C
$143 Vol.
69%
33°C
$0 Vol.
24%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C
$0 Vol.
2%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$15 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including Met Office and European ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with clear skies, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover expected through September 12. These conditions favor afternoon highs near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv, consistent with climatological norms for early September where daily maxima average around 30–31°C. Sea-breeze effects and low humidity will limit further warming, keeping probabilities of 33°C or higher modest while making 32°C the consensus peak. Updated model runs show little deviation in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$176End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including Met Office and European ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with clear skies, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover expected through September 12. These conditions favor afternoon highs near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv, consistent with climatological norms for early September where daily maxima average around 30–31°C. Sea-breeze effects and low humidity will limit further warming, keeping probabilities of 33°C or higher modest while making 32°C the consensus peak. Updated model runs show little deviation in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$176End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including Met Office and European ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with clear skies, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover expected through September 12. These conditions favor afternoon highs near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv, consistent with climatological norms for early September where daily maxima average around 30–31°C. Sea-breeze effects and low humidity will limit further warming, keeping probabilities of 33°C or higher modest while making 32°C the consensus peak. Updated model runs show little deviation in the 48-hour window before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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