Current forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional agencies indicate a high of 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that promote daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. This aligns with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions near the seasonal average, where minimal synoptic disturbances and stable subsidence support temperatures in this narrow range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 73% implied probability for 32°C, incorporates the limited uncertainty from recent model runs, with only modest upside risk from localized heating or slight forecast adjustments before official measurements are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
32°C 70%
31°C 16%
33°C 12%
34°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
16%
32°C
70%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 70%
31°C 16%
33°C 12%
34°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
28°C or below
$665 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$418 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$358 Vol.
2%
31°C
$986 Vol.
16%
32°C
$1,183 Vol.
70%
33°C
$1,023 Vol.
12%
34°C
$731 Vol.
2%
35°C
$586 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional agencies indicate a high of 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that promote daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. This aligns with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions near the seasonal average, where minimal synoptic disturbances and stable subsidence support temperatures in this narrow range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 73% implied probability for 32°C, incorporates the limited uncertainty from recent model runs, with only modest upside risk from localized heating or slight forecast adjustments before official measurements are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,790End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional agencies indicate a high of 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that promote daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. This aligns with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions near the seasonal average, where minimal synoptic disturbances and stable subsidence support temperatures in this narrow range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 73% implied probability for 32°C, incorporates the limited uncertainty from recent model runs, with only modest upside risk from localized heating or slight forecast adjustments before official measurements are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,790End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional agencies indicate a high of 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that promote daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture. This aligns with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions near the seasonal average, where minimal synoptic disturbances and stable subsidence support temperatures in this narrow range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 73% implied probability for 32°C, incorporates the limited uncertainty from recent model runs, with only modest upside risk from localized heating or slight forecast adjustments before official measurements are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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