Latest forecast models from Environment Canada and private sources indicate a warm, humid air mass over Toronto on August 26, 2026, with daytime highs most likely reaching 25–26°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms. This setup, consistent with late-August climatology showing average highs near 24–26°C, positions 25°C as the market favorite at 46% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 28.5%. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, while the absence of stronger high-pressure ridging or cooler advection keeps probabilities for 24°C or below at 21% combined. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on August 26?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 26?
25°C 46%
26°C 29%
24°C 18%
27°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C
46%
26°C
29%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 46%
26°C 29%
24°C 18%
27°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$31 Vol.
1%
22°C
$41 Vol.
2%
23°C
$67 Vol.
3%
24°C
$762 Vol.
18%
25°C
$915 Vol.
46%
26°C
$226 Vol.
29%
27°C
$73 Vol.
6%
28°C
$43 Vol.
2%
29°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$13 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from Environment Canada and private sources indicate a warm, humid air mass over Toronto on August 26, 2026, with daytime highs most likely reaching 25–26°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms. This setup, consistent with late-August climatology showing average highs near 24–26°C, positions 25°C as the market favorite at 46% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 28.5%. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, while the absence of stronger high-pressure ridging or cooler advection keeps probabilities for 24°C or below at 21% combined. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,274End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from Environment Canada and private sources indicate a warm, humid air mass over Toronto on August 26, 2026, with daytime highs most likely reaching 25–26°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms. This setup, consistent with late-August climatology showing average highs near 24–26°C, positions 25°C as the market favorite at 46% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 28.5%. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, while the absence of stronger high-pressure ridging or cooler advection keeps probabilities for 24°C or below at 21% combined. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,274End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from Environment Canada and private sources indicate a warm, humid air mass over Toronto on August 26, 2026, with daytime highs most likely reaching 25–26°C amid scattered showers and thunderstorms. This setup, consistent with late-August climatology showing average highs near 24–26°C, positions 25°C as the market favorite at 46% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 28.5%. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, while the absence of stronger high-pressure ridging or cooler advection keeps probabilities for 24°C or below at 21% combined. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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