**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime high near or slightly above 32°C in Zhengzhou on September 7, driven by lingering late-summer warmth ahead of an approaching cold front.** Official and model guidance, including runs consistent with National Meteorological Center of CMA expectations, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds supporting peak temperatures in the 31–33°C range before northerly flow strengthens overnight. This aligns with recent days’ observed highs of 30–32°C and typical early-September climatology for the region. The near-certain market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and real-time surface observations, though minor downward revisions remain possible if cloud cover increases faster than expected or if local measurement stations record a peak just below the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 7?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 7?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
$834 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$810 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$803 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$377 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$306 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime high near or slightly above 32°C in Zhengzhou on September 7, driven by lingering late-summer warmth ahead of an approaching cold front.** Official and model guidance, including runs consistent with National Meteorological Center of CMA expectations, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds supporting peak temperatures in the 31–33°C range before northerly flow strengthens overnight. This aligns with recent days’ observed highs of 30–32°C and typical early-September climatology for the region. The near-certain market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and real-time surface observations, though minor downward revisions remain possible if cloud cover increases faster than expected or if local measurement stations record a peak just below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,530End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime high near or slightly above 32°C in Zhengzhou on September 7, driven by lingering late-summer warmth ahead of an approaching cold front.** Official and model guidance, including runs consistent with National Meteorological Center of CMA expectations, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds supporting peak temperatures in the 31–33°C range before northerly flow strengthens overnight. This aligns with recent days’ observed highs of 30–32°C and typical early-September climatology for the region. The near-certain market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and real-time surface observations, though minor downward revisions remain possible if cloud cover increases faster than expected or if local measurement stations record a peak just below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,530End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime high near or slightly above 32°C in Zhengzhou on September 7, driven by lingering late-summer warmth ahead of an approaching cold front.** Official and model guidance, including runs consistent with National Meteorological Center of CMA expectations, indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds supporting peak temperatures in the 31–33°C range before northerly flow strengthens overnight. This aligns with recent days’ observed highs of 30–32°C and typical early-September climatology for the region. The near-certain market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and real-time surface observations, though minor downward revisions remain possible if cloud cover increases faster than expected or if local measurement stations record a peak just below the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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