Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4—well above the 54.3 consensus and July’s 54.1—has anchored trader expectations for September near the mid-54 to mid-55 range, with the two leading bins capturing nearly half the probability. Subcomponents showed broad-based demand gains, including business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, alongside rising backlogs and inventories, though employment remained in contraction at 47.8 and the prices index climbed to 72.6 amid tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures. Market-implied odds therefore balance the risk of sustained momentum from summer seasonality and resilient services activity against potential moderation toward the 12-month average near 53.7, given cautious hiring and elevated input costs. The September release, due in early October, will clarify whether these dynamics persist.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated54.0 to 54.9 26%
55.0 to 55.9 24%
53.0 to 53.9 18%
56.0 to 56.9 15%
NEW
NEW
Oct 5, 2026
<51.0
2%
51.0 to 51.9
6%
52.0 to 52.9
14%
53.0 to 53.9
18%
54.0 to 54.9
26%
55.0 to 55.9
24%
56.0 to 56.9
15%
57.0 to 57.9
10%
58.0 to 58.9
6%
59.0+
10%
54.0 to 54.9 26%
55.0 to 55.9 24%
53.0 to 53.9 18%
56.0 to 56.9 15%
NEW
NEW
Oct 5, 2026
<51.0
$23 Vol.
2%
51.0 to 51.9
$23 Vol.
6%
52.0 to 52.9
$23 Vol.
14%
53.0 to 53.9
$46 Vol.
18%
54.0 to 54.9
$23 Vol.
26%
55.0 to 55.9
$23 Vol.
24%
56.0 to 56.9
$46 Vol.
15%
57.0 to 57.9
$22 Vol.
10%
58.0 to 58.9
$23 Vol.
6%
59.0+
$23 Vol.
10%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4—well above the 54.3 consensus and July’s 54.1—has anchored trader expectations for September near the mid-54 to mid-55 range, with the two leading bins capturing nearly half the probability. Subcomponents showed broad-based demand gains, including business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, alongside rising backlogs and inventories, though employment remained in contraction at 47.8 and the prices index climbed to 72.6 amid tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures. Market-implied odds therefore balance the risk of sustained momentum from summer seasonality and resilient services activity against potential moderation toward the 12-month average near 53.7, given cautious hiring and elevated input costs. The September release, due in early October, will clarify whether these dynamics persist.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$278End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4—well above the 54.3 consensus and July’s 54.1—has anchored trader expectations for September near the mid-54 to mid-55 range, with the two leading bins capturing nearly half the probability. Subcomponents showed broad-based demand gains, including business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, alongside rising backlogs and inventories, though employment remained in contraction at 47.8 and the prices index climbed to 72.6 amid tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures. Market-implied odds therefore balance the risk of sustained momentum from summer seasonality and resilient services activity against potential moderation toward the 12-month average near 53.7, given cautious hiring and elevated input costs. The September release, due in early October, will clarify whether these dynamics persist.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$278End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4—well above the 54.3 consensus and July’s 54.1—has anchored trader expectations for September near the mid-54 to mid-55 range, with the two leading bins capturing nearly half the probability. Subcomponents showed broad-based demand gains, including business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, alongside rising backlogs and inventories, though employment remained in contraction at 47.8 and the prices index climbed to 72.6 amid tariff and Middle East supply-chain pressures. Market-implied odds therefore balance the risk of sustained momentum from summer seasonality and resilient services activity against potential moderation toward the 12-month average near 53.7, given cautious hiring and elevated input costs. The September release, due in early October, will clarify whether these dynamics persist.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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