**Lisa Cook remains a Federal Reserve governor following the Supreme Court’s June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling that blocked President Trump’s immediate removal attempt on procedural grounds while preserving the “for cause” standard under the Federal Reserve Act.** The case, centered on 2025 mortgage allegations, now returns to district court for further review of whether cause exists, with Cook’s 14-year term extending to January 2038. Traders price low near-term odds of departure because the ruling reinforces Fed independence precedents, requires due process, and faces extended litigation timelines amid broader administration efforts to reshape the Board. Key upcoming catalysts include district court proceedings and any related filings, which could influence market-implied probabilities if new evidence or procedural developments emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$23,819 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
<1%
October 31
1%
November 30
2%
December 31
5%
$23,819 Vol.
September 30
$11,531 Vol.
<1%
October 31
$8,296 Vol.
1%
November 30
$1,316 Vol.
2%
December 31
$2,675 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Lisa Cook remains a Federal Reserve governor following the Supreme Court’s June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling that blocked President Trump’s immediate removal attempt on procedural grounds while preserving the “for cause” standard under the Federal Reserve Act.** The case, centered on 2025 mortgage allegations, now returns to district court for further review of whether cause exists, with Cook’s 14-year term extending to January 2038. Traders price low near-term odds of departure because the ruling reinforces Fed independence precedents, requires due process, and faces extended litigation timelines amid broader administration efforts to reshape the Board. Key upcoming catalysts include district court proceedings and any related filings, which could influence market-implied probabilities if new evidence or procedural developments emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volume
$23,819End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Lisa Cook remains a Federal Reserve governor following the Supreme Court’s June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling that blocked President Trump’s immediate removal attempt on procedural grounds while preserving the “for cause” standard under the Federal Reserve Act.** The case, centered on 2025 mortgage allegations, now returns to district court for further review of whether cause exists, with Cook’s 14-year term extending to January 2038. Traders price low near-term odds of departure because the ruling reinforces Fed independence precedents, requires due process, and faces extended litigation timelines amid broader administration efforts to reshape the Board. Key upcoming catalysts include district court proceedings and any related filings, which could influence market-implied probabilities if new evidence or procedural developments emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$23,819End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Lisa Cook remains a Federal Reserve governor following the Supreme Court’s June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling that blocked President Trump’s immediate removal attempt on procedural grounds while preserving the “for cause” standard under the Federal Reserve Act.** The case, centered on 2025 mortgage allegations, now returns to district court for further review of whether cause exists, with Cook’s 14-year term extending to January 2038. Traders price low near-term odds of departure because the ruling reinforces Fed independence precedents, requires due process, and faces extended litigation timelines amid broader administration efforts to reshape the Board. Key upcoming catalysts include district court proceedings and any related filings, which could influence market-implied probabilities if new evidence or procedural developments emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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