Traders see closely matched probabilities for the number of dissenting votes at the December 2026 FOMC meeting because incoming inflation and labor-market data have yet to produce a clear consensus on the appropriate policy path. Recent CPI releases and employment figures have shown mixed signals, keeping the implied rate trajectory uncertain and leaving room for differing views among committee members on the pace of any further adjustments to the federal funds rate. Forward-looking factors such as the September dot plot revisions, upcoming nonfarm payrolls prints, and speeches from key regional presidents will likely serve as the main swing variables that could consolidate or fragment agreement before year-end. With no single outcome commanding more than a modest edge, market-implied odds reflect the inherent difficulty of forecasting exact dissent counts in a data-dependent environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 23.9%
3 22%
4+ 22%
0 19%
NEW
NEW
Dec 9, 2026
0
19%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
22%
2 23.9%
3 22%
4+ 22%
0 19%
NEW
NEW
Dec 9, 2026
0
$6,778 Vol.
19%
1
$484 Vol.
17%
2
$298 Vol.
24%
3
$325 Vol.
22%
4+
$344 Vol.
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders see closely matched probabilities for the number of dissenting votes at the December 2026 FOMC meeting because incoming inflation and labor-market data have yet to produce a clear consensus on the appropriate policy path. Recent CPI releases and employment figures have shown mixed signals, keeping the implied rate trajectory uncertain and leaving room for differing views among committee members on the pace of any further adjustments to the federal funds rate. Forward-looking factors such as the September dot plot revisions, upcoming nonfarm payrolls prints, and speeches from key regional presidents will likely serve as the main swing variables that could consolidate or fragment agreement before year-end. With no single outcome commanding more than a modest edge, market-implied odds reflect the inherent difficulty of forecasting exact dissent counts in a data-dependent environment.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Volume
$8,229End Date
Dec 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders see closely matched probabilities for the number of dissenting votes at the December 2026 FOMC meeting because incoming inflation and labor-market data have yet to produce a clear consensus on the appropriate policy path. Recent CPI releases and employment figures have shown mixed signals, keeping the implied rate trajectory uncertain and leaving room for differing views among committee members on the pace of any further adjustments to the federal funds rate. Forward-looking factors such as the September dot plot revisions, upcoming nonfarm payrolls prints, and speeches from key regional presidents will likely serve as the main swing variables that could consolidate or fragment agreement before year-end. With no single outcome commanding more than a modest edge, market-implied odds reflect the inherent difficulty of forecasting exact dissent counts in a data-dependent environment.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$8,229End Date
Dec 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched probabilities for the number of dissenting votes at the December 2026 FOMC meeting because incoming inflation and labor-market data have yet to produce a clear consensus on the appropriate policy path. Recent CPI releases and employment figures have shown mixed signals, keeping the implied rate trajectory uncertain and leaving room for differing views among committee members on the pace of any further adjustments to the federal funds rate. Forward-looking factors such as the September dot plot revisions, upcoming nonfarm payrolls prints, and speeches from key regional presidents will likely serve as the main swing variables that could consolidate or fragment agreement before year-end. With no single outcome commanding more than a modest edge, market-implied odds reflect the inherent difficulty of forecasting exact dissent counts in a data-dependent environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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