**Persistent inflation near 3.4% and a recent unanimous 25bp hike at the September FOMC meeting have left the path for December policy highly uncertain, producing closely matched Polymarket odds across 0–4+ dissents.** Elevated core price pressures, stable but resilient labor market conditions with unemployment around 4.1%, and the shift under new leadership have widened internal differences on whether to deliver another hike, hold steady, or signal restraint. Recent meetings have featured three or four dissents when the statement language or rate action split the committee, and the December dot-plot session amplifies this dynamic as participants weigh incoming October–November data against the balance of risks. Trader consensus prices in meaningful scope for disagreement regardless of the majority outcome, reflecting the data-dependent environment and historical precedent for divided votes near year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 23.9%
3 22%
4+ 21%
0 19%
NEW
NEW
Dec 9, 2026
0
19%
1
16%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
21%
2 23.9%
3 22%
4+ 21%
0 19%
NEW
NEW
Dec 9, 2026
0
$6,804 Vol.
19%
1
$489 Vol.
16%
2
$308 Vol.
24%
3
$345 Vol.
22%
4+
$354 Vol.
21%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Persistent inflation near 3.4% and a recent unanimous 25bp hike at the September FOMC meeting have left the path for December policy highly uncertain, producing closely matched Polymarket odds across 0–4+ dissents.**
Elevated core price pressures, stable but resilient labor market conditions with unemployment around 4.1%, and the shift under new leadership have widened internal differences on whether to deliver another hike, hold steady, or signal restraint. Recent meetings have featured three or four dissents when the statement language or rate action split the committee, and the December dot-plot session amplifies this dynamic as participants weigh incoming October–November data against the balance of risks. Trader consensus prices in meaningful scope for disagreement regardless of the majority outcome, reflecting the data-dependent environment and historical precedent for divided votes near year-end.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Volume
$8,301End Date
Dec 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Persistent inflation near 3.4% and a recent unanimous 25bp hike at the September FOMC meeting have left the path for December policy highly uncertain, producing closely matched Polymarket odds across 0–4+ dissents.**
Elevated core price pressures, stable but resilient labor market conditions with unemployment around 4.1%, and the shift under new leadership have widened internal differences on whether to deliver another hike, hold steady, or signal restraint. Recent meetings have featured three or four dissents when the statement language or rate action split the committee, and the December dot-plot session amplifies this dynamic as participants weigh incoming October–November data against the balance of risks. Trader consensus prices in meaningful scope for disagreement regardless of the majority outcome, reflecting the data-dependent environment and historical precedent for divided votes near year-end.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$8,301End Date
Dec 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent inflation near 3.4% and a recent unanimous 25bp hike at the September FOMC meeting have left the path for December policy highly uncertain, producing closely matched Polymarket odds across 0–4+ dissents.** Elevated core price pressures, stable but resilient labor market conditions with unemployment around 4.1%, and the shift under new leadership have widened internal differences on whether to deliver another hike, hold steady, or signal restraint. Recent meetings have featured three or four dissents when the statement language or rate action split the committee, and the December dot-plot session amplifies this dynamic as participants weigh incoming October–November data against the balance of risks. Trader consensus prices in meaningful scope for disagreement regardless of the majority outcome, reflecting the data-dependent environment and historical precedent for divided votes near year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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