Elevated inflation readings, including the August 2026 CPI at 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, combined with the September FOMC's upward revisions to the median federal funds rate path at 4.1% through 2027, are sustaining internal FOMC divisions that traders see as likely to produce multiple dissents at the January 2027 meeting. Recent votes have featured two or three dissents favoring hikes amid persistent price pressures above the 2% target, with the return to target now projected for 2029, while labor market data showing unemployment near 4.1% adds to debate over the appropriate policy stance. Market-implied odds clustered near 20-32% across zero to three dissents reflect uncertainty over incoming data and whether Chair Warsh's committee will hold or tighten further, consistent with historical precedent during periods of inflation reacceleration. Key catalysts ahead include the October CPI release and subsequent FOMC communications that could shift the balance of views.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
0 32%
3 27%
1 22%
2 20%
$15,912 Vol.
$15,912 Vol.
Jan 27, 2027
0
32%
1
22%
2
20%
3
27%
4+
4%
0 32%
3 27%
1 22%
2 20%
$15,912 Vol.
$15,912 Vol.
Jan 27, 2027
0
$3,099 Vol.
32%
1
$1,267 Vol.
22%
2
$576 Vol.
20%
3
$7,976 Vol.
27%
4+
$2,995 Vol.
4%
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation readings, including the August 2026 CPI at 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, combined with the September FOMC's upward revisions to the median federal funds rate path at 4.1% through 2027, are sustaining internal FOMC divisions that traders see as likely to produce multiple dissents at the January 2027 meeting. Recent votes have featured two or three dissents favoring hikes amid persistent price pressures above the 2% target, with the return to target now projected for 2029, while labor market data showing unemployment near 4.1% adds to debate over the appropriate policy stance. Market-implied odds clustered near 20-32% across zero to three dissents reflect uncertainty over incoming data and whether Chair Warsh's committee will hold or tighten further, consistent with historical precedent during periods of inflation reacceleration. Key catalysts ahead include the October CPI release and subsequent FOMC communications that could shift the balance of views.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$15,912End Date
Jan 28, 2027Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation readings, including the August 2026 CPI at 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, combined with the September FOMC's upward revisions to the median federal funds rate path at 4.1% through 2027, are sustaining internal FOMC divisions that traders see as likely to produce multiple dissents at the January 2027 meeting. Recent votes have featured two or three dissents favoring hikes amid persistent price pressures above the 2% target, with the return to target now projected for 2029, while labor market data showing unemployment near 4.1% adds to debate over the appropriate policy stance. Market-implied odds clustered near 20-32% across zero to three dissents reflect uncertainty over incoming data and whether Chair Warsh's committee will hold or tighten further, consistent with historical precedent during periods of inflation reacceleration. Key catalysts ahead include the October CPI release and subsequent FOMC communications that could shift the balance of views.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$15,912End Date
Jan 28, 2027Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation readings, including the August 2026 CPI at 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, combined with the September FOMC's upward revisions to the median federal funds rate path at 4.1% through 2027, are sustaining internal FOMC divisions that traders see as likely to produce multiple dissents at the January 2027 meeting. Recent votes have featured two or three dissents favoring hikes amid persistent price pressures above the 2% target, with the return to target now projected for 2029, while labor market data showing unemployment near 4.1% adds to debate over the appropriate policy stance. Market-implied odds clustered near 20-32% across zero to three dissents reflect uncertainty over incoming data and whether Chair Warsh's committee will hold or tighten further, consistent with historical precedent during periods of inflation reacceleration. Key catalysts ahead include the October CPI release and subsequent FOMC communications that could shift the balance of views.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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