Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate overnight lows in Chengdu on August 22 will likely settle in the 23–24°C range amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin in late summer. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling further while preventing significant warming. Trader consensus, with 24°C leading at 43% implied probability and 23°C close behind at 37.5%, reflects this narrow forecast spread; subtle differences hinge on exact timing of rainfall and cloud breaks, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip to 23°C or below. Updated model runs and official guidance expected through the night will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 22?
24°C 43%
23°C 38%
22°C 12%
25°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
12%
23°C
38%
24°C
43%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 43%
23°C 38%
22°C 12%
25°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
$30 Vol.
1%
19°C
$28 Vol.
1%
20°C
$46 Vol.
2%
21°C
$51 Vol.
3%
22°C
$20 Vol.
12%
23°C
$6 Vol.
38%
24°C
$5 Vol.
43%
25°C
$5 Vol.
11%
26°C
$5 Vol.
7%
27°C
$76 Vol.
4%
28°C or higher
$23 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate overnight lows in Chengdu on August 22 will likely settle in the 23–24°C range amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin in late summer. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling further while preventing significant warming. Trader consensus, with 24°C leading at 43% implied probability and 23°C close behind at 37.5%, reflects this narrow forecast spread; subtle differences hinge on exact timing of rainfall and cloud breaks, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip to 23°C or below. Updated model runs and official guidance expected through the night will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$296End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate overnight lows in Chengdu on August 22 will likely settle in the 23–24°C range amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin in late summer. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling further while preventing significant warming. Trader consensus, with 24°C leading at 43% implied probability and 23°C close behind at 37.5%, reflects this narrow forecast spread; subtle differences hinge on exact timing of rainfall and cloud breaks, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip to 23°C or below. Updated model runs and official guidance expected through the night will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$296End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate overnight lows in Chengdu on August 22 will likely settle in the 23–24°C range amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin in late summer. These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling further while preventing significant warming. Trader consensus, with 24°C leading at 43% implied probability and 23°C close behind at 37.5%, reflects this narrow forecast spread; subtle differences hinge on exact timing of rainfall and cloud breaks, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip to 23°C or below. Updated model runs and official guidance expected through the night will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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