**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's lowest temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on 24°C as the clear leader at 62.5% implied probability.** This reflects consensus from official forecasts, including Hong Kong Observatory guidance of a 23°C minimum alongside 33°C highs amid rain, and broader seasonal models showing typical late-August overnight lows of 22–24°C (72–75°F) in the Sichuan basin. Chengdu’s humid subtropical climate, influenced by monsoon patterns and basin topography, moderates diurnal ranges, with recent updates from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com reinforcing a low near 23–24°C amid scattered showers and moderate humidity. Historical August averages (around 22°C lows) provide context, but current model runs and real-time conditions favor the higher end of the distribution, keeping probabilities for 22°C or below under 20% combined. Upcoming hourly observations from local stations will refine this as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 21?
24°C 93%
18°C 38%
21°C 11%
20°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
38%
19°C
<1%
20°C
9%
21°C
11%
22°C
2%
23°C
28%
24°C
72%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 93%
18°C 38%
21°C 11%
20°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
$142 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$61 Vol.
38%
19°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$92 Vol.
9%
21°C
$92 Vol.
11%
22°C
$92 Vol.
2%
23°C
$30 Vol.
28%
24°C
$153 Vol.
72%
25°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's lowest temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on 24°C as the clear leader at 62.5% implied probability.** This reflects consensus from official forecasts, including Hong Kong Observatory guidance of a 23°C minimum alongside 33°C highs amid rain, and broader seasonal models showing typical late-August overnight lows of 22–24°C (72–75°F) in the Sichuan basin. Chengdu’s humid subtropical climate, influenced by monsoon patterns and basin topography, moderates diurnal ranges, with recent updates from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com reinforcing a low near 23–24°C amid scattered showers and moderate humidity. Historical August averages (around 22°C lows) provide context, but current model runs and real-time conditions favor the higher end of the distribution, keeping probabilities for 22°C or below under 20% combined. Upcoming hourly observations from local stations will refine this as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$989End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's lowest temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on 24°C as the clear leader at 62.5% implied probability.** This reflects consensus from official forecasts, including Hong Kong Observatory guidance of a 23°C minimum alongside 33°C highs amid rain, and broader seasonal models showing typical late-August overnight lows of 22–24°C (72–75°F) in the Sichuan basin. Chengdu’s humid subtropical climate, influenced by monsoon patterns and basin topography, moderates diurnal ranges, with recent updates from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com reinforcing a low near 23–24°C amid scattered showers and moderate humidity. Historical August averages (around 22°C lows) provide context, but current model runs and real-time conditions favor the higher end of the distribution, keeping probabilities for 22°C or below under 20% combined. Upcoming hourly observations from local stations will refine this as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$989End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's lowest temperature on August 21, 2026, centers on 24°C as the clear leader at 62.5% implied probability.** This reflects consensus from official forecasts, including Hong Kong Observatory guidance of a 23°C minimum alongside 33°C highs amid rain, and broader seasonal models showing typical late-August overnight lows of 22–24°C (72–75°F) in the Sichuan basin. Chengdu’s humid subtropical climate, influenced by monsoon patterns and basin topography, moderates diurnal ranges, with recent updates from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com reinforcing a low near 23–24°C amid scattered showers and moderate humidity. Historical August averages (around 22°C lows) provide context, but current model runs and real-time conditions favor the higher end of the distribution, keeping probabilities for 22°C or below under 20% combined. Upcoming hourly observations from local stations will refine this as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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