Skip to main content
icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 12 de junho?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 12 de junho?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 12 de junho?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 12 de junho?

jun 12

jun 13

jun 14

jun 15

jun 12

jun 13

jun 14

jun 15

26°C 100.0%

21°C ou menos <1%

22°C <1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$43,007 Vol.

26°C 100.0%

21°C ou menos <1%

22°C <1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$43,007 Vol.

21°C ou menos

$848 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$944 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$2,444 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$2,932 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$6,758 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$21,948 Vol.

100%

27°C

$4,426 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$908 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$710 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$420 Vol.

<1%

31°C ou mais

$668 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional climatology positioned the June 12 overnight low near 26°C amid typical subtropical high-pressure conditions, moderate humidity, and scattered showers, aligning with the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Seasonal outlooks had already signaled above-normal temperatures overall, while daily model guidance showed no cold-air intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous cloud cover that could depress readings. Historical June baselines reinforce this range, with average minima around 26–27°C. Only a late marine layer or localized rain-cooled pockets would realistically challenge the result, though post-event verification confirms the 26°C threshold held without deviation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$43,007
Data de Término
12 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional climatology positioned the June 12 overnight low near 26°C amid typical subtropical high-pressure conditions, moderate humidity, and scattered showers, aligning with the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Seasonal outlooks had already signaled above-normal temperatures overall, while daily model guidance showed no cold-air intrusions, typhoon influences, or anomalous cloud cover that could depress readings. Historical June baselines reinforce this range, with average minima around 26–27°C. Only a late marine layer or localized rain-cooled pockets would realistically challenge the result, though post-event verification confirms the 26°C threshold held without deviation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$43,007
Data de Término
12 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 12 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "26°C" at 100%, followed by "21°C ou menos" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 12 de junho?" has generated $43K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 12 de junho?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 12 de junho?" is "26°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "21°C ou menos" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 12 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.