Hong Kong Observatory forecasts a daily temperature range of 26–29°C for June 14 under cloudy skies with occasional heavy showers and squally thunderstorms, establishing 26°C as the expected minimum. This aligns with typical early-summer climatology, where overnight lows cluster tightly around 26–27°C amid humid subtropical conditions and southwesterly flow. Current model consensus and regional observations reinforce the outlook, with no signals of anomalous cooling from enhanced convection or wind shifts. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 26°C reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day drop below the forecast floor, such as from localized heavy rainfall or revised official readings deviating from the HKO guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. Juni?
26°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
22°C oder darunter <1%
23°C <1%
$78,661 Vol.
$78,661 Vol.
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
22°C oder darunter <1%
23°C <1%
$78,661 Vol.
$78,661 Vol.
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts a daily temperature range of 26–29°C for June 14 under cloudy skies with occasional heavy showers and squally thunderstorms, establishing 26°C as the expected minimum. This aligns with typical early-summer climatology, where overnight lows cluster tightly around 26–27°C amid humid subtropical conditions and southwesterly flow. Current model consensus and regional observations reinforce the outlook, with no signals of anomalous cooling from enhanced convection or wind shifts. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 26°C reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day drop below the forecast floor, such as from localized heavy rainfall or revised official readings deviating from the HKO guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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